DA arms race 英語版
a)UQ
Other countries think Japandoesn’t expand her military because of the JUST.
asahi.com/2009/提言日本の新戦略/日米同盟を使いこなす。しなやかな発想
Q) Japandoesn’t go into the arms race because of the existence of theUS. It can be the fact of relief for Neighbor countries. Even if Japan doesn’t have the duty to protect America, it is too simple to criticize that it is one-sided. Instead, Japan offers lots of base, airspace and cost. (UQ
b) Linkage
1 If Japanterminates the JUST, Asian countries will think Japan will increase their military power, and start arms race.
小川和久/1996/平和戦略国際研究所/human security No.1/第３章 沖縄米軍基地問題解決へのシナリオ/
Q) Firstly, about abolitionof the JUST, the trust of Asian toward Japancan be maintained thanks to the JUST. If Japanabolish the JUST, Asian countries will have caution against a military trend of Japan that loses the power of the U.S.because she has never done postwar management that Asian countries were convinced of so far. Moreover, withdrawal of the U.S.military from Japan has the possibility to cause arms race among Asian countries which have fear about the military trend of China. It seems that Japan have to prepare the situation of losing her trust as she is the cause of arms race. (UQ
c) impact
War kills many people
World Military and social expenditures/1996/9/World Military and Social expenditures 1996: A century of progress, conflict, and deprivation
Q) Yet it is also evident that no other century on record equals the 20th in uncivilized civil violence, in the number of conflicts waged, the hordes of refugees created, the millions of people killed in wars, and the vast expenditures for "defence." (UQ
2NC
a)UQ
__ Actually. Japandoesn’t have any military power to fight.
コフィー・アナン 2006/5/18/東京大学おけるコフェぃー・アナン国連事務総長講演
Q) The fact that Japan succeeded as a nation with imposing standards which theydo not make and have a nuclear weapon sent the strong message all over the world. There is no need to have nuclear weapons for being the “normal”country. Also, there is no need for having a great arm to exercise the influence. There must be something else that shows the greatness of the country. (UQ
__ China think the JUST can stop Japan being military country.
小島/2005/4/朋之/[特集1:東アジア共同体の可能性]「東アジア共同体」と日中協力
Q) China also admit that the JUST preventsJapan from becoming a large politics andmilitary nation, however, they don’t agree that it gives a role of region peace officially. (UQ
__ China has been disarming
Embassy of the people’s republic of China in Japan/2005/9/2/軍備管理・軍縮と拡散防止への努力 中国が白書発表/
Q) (About nuclear disarmament)among the nuclear possessing countries, China has the fewest numbers of nuclear tests. She has never taken part in arms race and will not in the future. She has never deploy the nuclear weapon in the foreign territory. Around 1990, China closed the base of nuclear arms research and development in青海省. (UQ
__ China has not attacked Japan because of the military balance between them by JUST.
村井/2003/友秀/日本の論点/日米中の関係をどう構築するか/p79-p80
Q) About the conflict of the SenkakuIslands, the Southeast Asian countries think that china can have flexible attitude toward Japan because Japan is superior to China in the point of the balance of the naval power. Therefore, countries around China have to act carefully to avoid the situations that military balance becomes profitable toChina. A clear condition that military balance doesn’t become profitable to China is the existence of the U.S. military. The existence of the U.S. military can minimize the influence when the military balance between China and neighbor countries change. The largest factor to stabilize the East Asian international environment is the existence of the U.S. military and the JUST which guarantees it. (UQ
__ China realize the deference of military power of the U.S.
日高/2006/7/義樹/日米中のパワーバランス/ハドソン研究所首席研究員
Q) Even though we say we have proceeded the modernization of military, according to the announcement by the Chinese government, Chinese military budget is still 200 million dollars which is just 5% of American whole defense budget which is 40 million dollars. More than that, the deference of technology is huge. (UQ
b) Linkage
__ AP Japan will increase the military power because of no JUST.
__ Other countries admit the military technology of Japan.
岩波/1987/11/20/書店/＜軍事大国＞日本 どこまで軍事化されたか/「世界」編集部編/P2
Q) it was pointed out that Japan have not only the “bronze medal” by the increase of military cost following the U.S. and the Soviet Union, but also have the “gold medal” in terms of the technology which can divert to military affairs, it is also emphasized that Japan is in the high standard of the comprehensive military power. (UQ
__ Japanese arms race cause arms race in other countries. It’s empirically proven in the case of London navy disarmament treaty.
山田/2006/1/25/郎/明治大学教授/護憲派のための軍事講座
Q) For about 20 years after world war, the world moved toward disarmaments in the case of Washington convention and London navy disarmament treaty. However, Japanese navy started to oppose disarmament and broke away from London navy disarmament treaty. Because of that the world started to move armament and it did never stop. (UQ
__ China will fear that Japan will expand her military because of termination of the JUST, and start arms race
Henry/2002/US Security Strategy and US–Japan–ChinaRelations: Stabilizer and Engager
Q) China had come to view the Soviet Union as the main threat and welcomed the United States as “the enemy of my enemy”. Moreover, China feared Japanese remilitarization, seeing (as it does today) the US presence as a way to prevent Japan from becoming a military giant again. (UQ
__ AP China will attack Japan because of no military balance which is cause by no JUST..
村井/2003/友秀/日本の論点/日米中の関係をどう構築するか/p80
Q) China recognizes that theU.S. is the only biggest country in the present world. She doubts the balance of power as a stable world system, however, as a process to the Hegemony stability theory, as one step of expanding her influence in this region,she has taken the policy of a balance of power with the U.S... Still, China doesn’t feel like taking the policy of a balance of power withJapan. Chinahas a confidence that she is superior to Japan. (UQ
__ Actually, China has a motivation to attack Japan.
時事通信社/2008/6/21/
Q) July issue of Chinese military affairs specialized magazine,漢和防務評論, of Canada, reported that the intermediate range ballistic missile base of Shangdongshou in China which assumed to attack Japan was reinforced. (UQ
__ Chinese arms race cause more arms race of theUS
川上/2006/4/4/高司/拓殖大学国際開発学部教授/世界週報/p11
Q) If china increases the military force, the U.S. responds to it by increasing the military of the Pacific and stop Chinese arms race with the U.S. The U.S. responds to the increase ability of Chinaby increasing her ability. (UQ
__ arms race cause war
World Military and social expenditures/1996/9/World Military and Social expenditures 1996: A century of progress, conflict, and deprivation
Q) The death and destruction associated with modern war owe much to the development and wide dissemination of advanced military technology. Aided by the enormous sums governments provided for military equipment, the art of warfare has been radically transformed. (UQ
c)
__ arms race cause war. C/A ___
__ Arms race cause many poor
日本共産党/1990/6/11/日米安保その30年/p78
Q) It is the result that the U.S. and the Soviet Union pushed forward with an arms race. In that process, it is dangerous the cost of Military affairs in Developing countries is increasing. Because when the death of hunger, disease, and poor is expanding, the military budget is increasing. (UQ
__ Arms race makes the economy worse.
日本共産党/1990/6/11/日米安保その30年/P80-p81
Q) An arms race also becomes the factor of disturbing economic development. If military cost and production occupy large special importance, itdistorts the economy. Investment and people are inserted into military affairs which is not productive, the productivity itself never increase in the view of nation economy. (UQ