Francisco Perez-Arce

University of Southern California

Center for Economic and Social Research,

1909 K Street NW, Washington, DC, +1.213.821.05231,

https://cesr.usc.edu/people/staff/perezarc

Professional Experience
University of Southern California / Research Scientist (Economist), Center for Economic and Social Research, July 20616-Present
RAND Corporation, VA, USA / Director, Center for Latin American Social Policy, June 2014-June 2016
Economist (Full), June 2014- June 2016
Professor, PARDEE RAND Graduate School, 2012- 2016
Economist (Associate), September 2010 – June 2014
Ministry of Finance, Mexico / Consultant at the Division of Coordination with Entities, summer 2008
Centro de Análisis e Investigación Económica, México / Analyst, August 2003 – July 2005
Mexican Embassy in Argentina / Assistant to the Secretary of Economic Affairs, summer 2003.
Education

Princeton University, Ph.D. Economics, 2010

Princeton University, M.A., Economics, 2007

Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México, B.A., Economics, 2004

Fields of Interest

Development, Education, Labor and Behavioral Economics.

Teaching experience
Instituto Tecnológico Autónomo de México /
Instructor
/
Contract Theory, Undergraduate Level
Princeton University /
Teaching Assistant
/ Introduction to Microeconomics, Labor Economics, Ethics and Economics, Mathematics for Finance
(Master-Level)
Peer-Reviewed Publications

Journal Articles.

Consumption Smoothing and Frequency of Benefit Payments of Cash Transfer Programs (with Emma Aguila and Arie Kapteyn). Forthcoming: American Economic Review, Papers & Proceedings. May 2017

The effect of education on time preferences. Economics of Education Review. Vol. 56 (2), 52-64. February 2017. DOI:

Costs of Extending the Non-contributory Pension Program for Elderly: The Mexican Case (with Emma Aguila, Nelly Mejia , Edgar Ramirez & Alfonso Rivera Illingworth, Journal of Aging & Social Policy, 2016.1545-0821

DOI: 10.1080/08959420.2016.1158384. also in Spanish as: “Programas de Pensiones No Contributivas y su Viabilidad Financiera: El Caso de México. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2013. http://www.rand.org/pubs/working_papers/WR999.

Do Employers Prefer Workers Who Attend For-Profit Colleges? Evidence from a Field Experiment (with Darolia, Rajeev, Cory Koedel, Paco Martorell and Katie Wilson). Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, 34(4): 881-903. Fall 2015.

Is A Dream Deferred a Dream Denied? College Enrollment and Time-Varying Opportunity Cost. Journal of Labor Economics, Vol. 33, No. 1, 33-61. January 2015.

Pobreza y Vulnerabilidad en México: El caso de los Jóvenes que no Estudian ni Trabajan, (with Aguila, Emma, Nelly Mejia, Francisco Perez-Arce and Alfonso Rivera), Estudios Económicos (2015). 30(1), 3-49.

The Impact of Labor Market Regulation On Employment In Low Income Countries: A Meta-Analysis (with Nataraj, Shanthi, Krishna B. Kumar, and Sinduja V. Srinivasan) Journal of Economic Surveys (2013). 28:551-572. 22.

*Also in: Bulletin of Economics and Meta-Analysis, 2012. http://www.hendrix.edu/maer-network/default.aspx?id=15206

El Efecto de los Salarios Mínimos en los Ingresos Laborales de México - The Impact of Minimum Wages on Labor Income in Mexico (with David S. Kaplan). El Trimestre Económico, 73, no. 1 (2006) 139-173

Nota sobre la relación entre la volatilidad en el crecimiento y la legalidad -On the relationship between law enforcement and growth volatility (with Carlos Léver Guzmán). Gaceta de Economía, 20 (2005)

Peer Reviewed Research Reports

Karoly, Lynn and Francisco Perez-Arce. “A Cost-Benefit Framework for Analyzing the Economic and Fiscal Impacts of State-Level Immigration Policies”. Santa Monica, CA. RAND Corporation, 2016. http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1397

Perez-Arce, Francisco, Ernesto Amaral, Crystal Huang and Carter Price “Inequality and Opportunity. The Relationship Between Income Inequality and Intergenerational Transmission of Income: Trends, Mechanisms and Implications for Policy”. Under Review.

Perez-Arce, Francisco. Idle Youth in the Midle East and Noth Africa. Under Review.

Shatz, Howard J., Louay Constant, Francisco Perez-Arce, Eric Robinson, Robin Beckman, Haijing Huang, Peter Glick and Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar. Improving the Mongolian Labor Market and Enhancing Opportunities for Youth. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2015. http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR1092. Also available in print form.

Abramzon, Shmuel, Nicholas Burger, Bonnie Ghosh-Dastidar, Peter Glick, Krishna B. Kumar, Francisco Perez-Arce and Alexandria Smith. Capacity Building at the Kurdistan Region Statistics Office Through Data Collection. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2014. http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RR293. Also available in print form.

Perez-Arce, Francisco, Louay Constant, David S. Loughran and Lynn A. Karoly. A Cost-Benefit Analysis of the National Guard Youth ChalleNGe Program. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2012. http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR1193. Also available in print form

Perez-Arce, Francisco, Louay Constant, David S. Loughran and Lynn A. Karoly. Meeting the Challenge: The Economic Return on Investment in the National Guard Youth ChalleNGe Program. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2012. http://www.rand.org/pubs/research_briefs/RB9641.

Burger, Nicholas, Noreen Clancy, Yashodhara Rana, Rena Rudavsky, Aimee E. Curtright, Francisco Perez-Arce and Joanne K. Yoong. Outcome Evaluation of U.S. Department of State Support for the Global Methane Initiative. Santa Monica, CA: RAND Corporation, 2013. http://www.rand.org/pubs/technical_reports/TR1250.

Working Papers

Consumption Smoothing, Frequency of Benefit Payments, and Effectiveness of Social Programs (with Emma Aguila and Arie Kapteyn). Presented at NBER Summer Institute 2015.

A meta-regression analysis of intergenerational transmission of income and the Great Gatsby curve (with Ernesto Amaral). Presented at MAER-NET Colloqium, 2015.

Soft versus Hard Commitments: A Test on Savings Behaviors (with Burke, Jeremy, and Jill Luoto). RAND Working Paper WR-1055, 2014 hhttp://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/working_papers/WR1000/WR1055/RAND_WR1055.pdf. Revise and Resumit, Journal of Consumer Affairs.

The (non-) effect of violence on education: evidence from the "war on drugs" in Mexico (with Fernanda Marquez-Padilla and Carlos Rodriguez-Castelán). World Bank Policy Research Working Paper, WPS-7230 http://documents.worldbank.org/curated/en/2015/04/24261204/non--effect-violence-education-evidence-war-drugs-mexico. Presented at LACEA, 2015.

A Review of Proven and Promising Interventions in Adolescent Reproductive Health in Developing Countries (with Emmanuel Drabo and Joanne Yoong)

Perez-Arce, Francisco. “The Impact of Cutting Education Expenditures: The case of 1980’s Mexico”. RAND Working Paper WR-845

Conference and invited presentations

Latin American Econometric Society. Medellin, Colombia. November 2016

MAER-Net Colloquium. Comway, Ak. September 2016

University of Southern California, Los Angeles, CA, January 19, 2016

Latin American and Caribbean Economics Association, October 15, 2015. Universidad de Santa Cruz de la Sierra, Santa Cruz, Bolivia. Session: Education and Crime

George Mason University, Arlington, VA, October 6, 2015

MAER-Net Colloquium, Prague, September, 12, 2015.

Latin American Meetings of the Econometric Society. Sao Paulo, Brazil. November 21, 2014

IZA/World Bank Conference on Employment and Development, Bonn, Germany. August 22, 2013

Population Association of America, May 2, 2013, Boston Massachusetts.

AMERICAN ECONOMIC ASSOCIATION 2013 ANNUAL MEETING. San Diego, California, January 4-6. 2013 Session: Determinants of Time Preferences

Latin American and Caribbean Economics Association, November 1, 2012. Universidad del Pacifico, Lima, Peru. Session: Endogenous Preferences

Latin American Meetings of the Econometric Society. November 2, 2012, Lima, Peru. Session: Search and

Labor

Behavioral Finance Forum, May 2011. Washington, DC. “Designing an Enhanced Online Retirement Calculator”

Network on Inequality and Poverty: Mexican Chapter. October 15, 2010, Mexico City, Mexico

RAND Corporation, Santa Monica, California, January 2010

Mathematica Policy Research, Washington, DC. January 2010

Universita d’Alacant, Alicante, Spain, November 2009

Princeton University, Princeton, NJ October 2009

Grants and other research support

PIs: Carvalho, Perez-Arce

National Science Foundation. 2014-2017

“The Effects of Education on Behavioral Decision-Making”

Total Funding: $223,000

PIs- Agarwal, Burke, Luoto, Perez-Arce, Vaziralli

Yale Savings and Payments Research Fund at Innovations for Poverty Action, sponsored by a grant from the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation 03/01/12 – 010/31/13

“A Randomized-Control Trial of a Soft-Commitment Product”

Total Funding: $10,000

PI- Perez-Arce

National Institute on Aging 08/01/2012-08/01/2013

“Understanding the Mechanisms through which Education Affects Health”

Total Funding $50,000

PIs - Burke, Luoto, Perez-Arce

National Institute on Aging 01/01/12 – 09/30/12

“Contract-Free” Commitment

Total Funding: $100,000

PI - Martorell

Spencer Foundation 10/01/12 – 09/30/13

“An Audit Study of the Labor Market's Perception of for-Profit College Graduates”

Total Funding for RAND: $32,000

PIs: Nataraj and Perez-Arce

UK Department for International Development 01/01/2011-08/01/2012

“Systematic Review of the Impacts of Labor Regulations in low Income Countries”

$72,630

PI: Perez-Arce 01/01/2008-12/31/2009

Princeton University

“Name of assignment or project: Survey of College Applicants in Mexico City”

$40,000

Project leadership (selected)
PIs: Perez-Arce, Mihaly

“Feasibility of Conducting a Randomized Control Trial of Enseña por México¨. At the request of Teach for All, RAND analyzed the feasibility and convenience of conducting impact evaluation under a set of alternative scenarios.

PIs: Constant, Perez-Arce

“Indicators of Economic Opportunities for Youth in the Arab World”. RAND assisted Silatech, a non-profit organization focused on enhancing Arab youth employment and engagement, in the development of indicators to help the organization track and improve its operations and maximize positive impacts on the lives of Arab youth. RAND provided practical recommendations on the management of the system as well as a set of guiding principles for implementation.

http://www.rand.org/labor/centers/rapid/projects/indicators-economic-opportunities-youth-arab-world.html

PIs: Burger, Perez-Arce.

“Capital Investment Budget”. The objective of this study is to work with the Kurdistan Regional Government Ministry of Planning (MoP) to support continued improvements to the investment budget process. The overarching aim is to enhance the MoP’s process for Managing, prioritizing and assessing projects proposed through the annual investment budget process.

Honors and Awards

Silver Medal Award 2013, RAND Corporation

Fellow of the Woodrow Wilson Society, Princeton University, 2009-2010

Industrial Relations Section Summer Stipend, 2009

Princeton University Fellowship, 2005-2009.

Princeton Graduate School Summer Research Fellowship, 2005-2008.

ITAM Fellowship, 2000-2004.

Mención Honorífica, ITAM 2004

Other Activities

Member of: American Economic Association, Econometric Society, Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association

Referee for RAND publications and Quality Assurance., the Journal of Economic Surveys, Economics of Education Review

Reviewer for the Swiss National Science Foundation.

Member of the Editorial Board, Gaceta de Economía (2004-2005)

Press Coverage

The Effect of Education on Time Preferences

“Time and Punishment”, The Economist, July 12th 2014.

Minimum Wages

“¿Qué dice la economía sobre el salario mínimo en México?” Excelsior, August 18, 2014.

State-Level Immigration Policy

Bloomberg News, March 8, 2016; Phys.org, March 8, 2016; CityLab from The Atlantic, March 9, 2016; EFE, March 9, 2016; HolaCiudad! March 9, 2016.; Pacific Standard March 9, 2016;

Computer skills

STATA, Matlab, Microsoft Office.

Languages

Spanish (native), English (fluent), French, Portuguese

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