United Nations Environmental Programme
The United Nations Environmental Programme (UNEP) was founded in 1972 to deal with global environmental issues. The UNEP aims to shift global consciousness and activities towards sustainable environmental practices. The UNEP also strives to assist developing nations to improve the quality of life for their people through ecological conservation, sustainable development and remediation. The UNEP has focused on the following six topics to address global environmental challenges: climate change, disasters and conflicts, ecosystem management, environmental governance, harmful substances, and resource efficiency.
- Climate Change
As we move further into the year 2014 it is more critical than ever for countries to reach an agreement on steps to continue decrease the amount of global climate variability that is expected for 2100 as part of the Cancún Agreements of the UNFCCC. 2100 has been set as the goal year for climate initiatives because if the world were to continue without changing the average global temperature is expected to warm by at least twice as much than it has in the last 100 years. If this happens there will be no way to return the climate to something close to the climate of 2014. The November 2013 UN Climate Change Conference in Warsaw generated new decisions that will help cut emissions from deforestation. Even though these efforts were a needed step forward the UNEP would like to see further resolutions passed on the topic in preparation for the 2015 Paris meeting of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The ultimate objective of the climate negotiations will be to stabilize greenhouse gas concentrations in the atmosphere at a level that will limit human interference with the climate system.
The impacts of climate change will cause significant issues by 2050 and many potentially irreversible issues by 2100 if no action is taken. One problem that will manifest itself by 2050 isa rise in global sea level. It is speculated that with a 2.5°C increase in global temperature by 2050, the sea level will rise 350 millimeters or about 14 inches. This will greatly affect coastlines and island nations. Sea level rise is influenced by the amount of CO2 circulating in the atmosphere and oceans. This is because the circulation of CO2 impacts the melting of the polar icecaps, thawing of permafrost, and retreat of glaciers. Increased levels of CO2 in the ocean also effect ocean acidity. Increasing the acidity of the ocean results in the loss of species diversity in the oceans which effects countries that rely on the ocean for food and ecotourism.
Countries that are most susceptible to climate change are also usually the least likely to be able to adapt to climate change. While it is unclear what the effect of climate change will be on specific regions as a whole, we do know some of the countries that are at higher risks of losing resources to climate change. Low lying islandcountries are very susceptible to sea level rise as well as heightened violent weather. The 2013 Warsaw Climate Change Conference did establish an international agreement to help vulnerable populations with better protection against damage caused by extreme weather and sea level rise. Detailed work for this mechanism still needs to be done for this concept and requires the cooperation of countries during this session.
The UNEP recognizes that throughout the course of the Earth’s history it has gone through various cycles of heating and cooling. When they are located in the troposphere the greenhouse gases serve a vital role in regulating the planet’s climate. Human influence in the global climate cycle began during the industrial revolution and has lead to an increase in the amount of greenhouse gases at an extremely rapid speed. This increase has caused the most dramatic change in the composition of the atmosphere for the past 650,000 years. Unless emissions are reduced, the global climate will continue will continue to warm rapidly for the foreseeable future.
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) states that the data of global warming has at least a nine out of ten chance of being caused by human activity through the emission of greenhouse gases. The IPCC concluded that if atmospheric concentration of greenhouse gases double compared to pre-industrial levels it would likely cause an average warming of around 3°C. This increase in temperature will cause sea level rise due to ocean expansion caused by glaciers and sea ice melting. It is also likely that heat waves will cause longer duration and increased intensity of droughts, especially in the tropics and subtropics of the Mediterranean, southern Africa, and parts of southern Asia.
Climate change is a complex global issue and needs a complex global solution. There are various thoughts on how to reduce the effects of climate change. Energy efficiency improvements, innovation and technology, carbon budgeting and rationing, reducing deforestation, increasing afforestation, putting a price on carbon, and funding developing nations to move to sustainable sources of energy. A combination of these options will be needed to stabilize green house gas concentrations in the atmosphere.
There has been a lot of work done to generate the changes needed to address the problem of climate change. The milestones were the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, 1992, the Kyoto Protocol, 1997, the Bali Action Plan, 2007, the Copenhagen Accord, 2009, and the Durban Platform, 2011.
These decisions need to be real and should be able to be approved by the administrative body of your country after you leave the committee session. It is past the time of countries making false promises about their climate change strategy. It is understood that climate change is an issue and changes need to be made to lessen the effects of climate variability.
Key Issues to Consider:
- How will your country be directly affected by climate change, what about your major trading partners?
- How much land will you lose due to sea level rise? What is the consequence?
- How much green house gases does your country produce?
- What do underdeveloped countries need in order to reduce their carbon impact?
- Do your policies match with what you will be able to do for your country, if applicable?
- Should a fund be started for countries that will need additional funding from the variable climate?
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- The Volcano in the Breadbasket
The current estimate for the world human population is 7,138,876,600 and UN projectionsexpect it to grow to 8.3 billion by 2030. Food security is always a pressing matter for countries and individual citizens alike. The human population is not going to stop growing in the near future and it is increasingly difficult for the world to produce enough food to feed its population. Food security is a highly important issue and a lack thereof could potentially lead to violence on a regional and global scale.
In 1948, the Universal Declaration of Human Rights affirmed the right of everyone to an adequate amount of food. Despite this, access to adequate food in developing relies heavily on their access to natural resources, especially water. Water is extremely important for growing food as well as non-food crops. While there is enough water on a global scale to grow adequate crops, there are large areas around the world that have absolute water scarcity. This lack of water to grow crops affects billions of people and causes many to suffer from hunger.
In 2013, the rising cost of food drove 44 million people into poverty. These people joined the 870 million people already in poverty because of food. The majority of these people live in developing countries. The rising prices of food in developing countries are a major threat to food security because the people spend between 50 to 80 percent of their income on food.
Agriculture contributes to climate change because of greenhouse gas emission produced. The green house gases affect the planet’s water cycle which leads to further uncertainties about the global food production. The water used in agriculture can also cause wide-scale changes in the surrounding ecosystems. In the United States, the cost of ecosystem damage from agricultural water is $9-20 billion per year. The UN predicts that South Asia and Southern Africa will be the most vulnerable regions to climate change-related food shortages by 2030.
The majority of the world’s food is produced in three main areas which are commonly referred to as the ‘breadbaskets’. The largest area is located in the central United States. The second and third largest are located in China and in India. The majority of China’s agriculture is in the southeastern part of the country. India is has almost all of its territory cultivated for agriculture. The breadbasket located in the United States produces approximately thirty five percent of the world’s supply of corn and soybeans. This is important because a large portion of this goes to feeding livestock around the world. The major importers of United States corn are Japan which imported 7.4 million tons in 2013 and South Korea which imported 2 million metric tons.
Yellowstone National Park is located in Wyoming and contains the Yellowstone Caldera which is an active supervolcano. This volcano has a history of erupting every 600,000 years. It has been 640,000 years since the last eruption. Scientists suspect that within the next one hundred years the volcano will have a major eruption. However in 2013 there was an increased amount of seismic activity in the region which leads to the belief that the volcano could erupt sooner than expected. When the volcano erupts it will cause massive destruction and loss of life to the United States and Canada from the eruption as well as the amount of volcanic ash that will cover the surrounding area. It is not possible to predict where exactly all the volcanic ash will spread but it will be large enough to cover a large portion of the United States and lowerpart of Canada. The volcano has enough magma to destroy the entire continental United States.
The is no accurate way for scientists to predict when a volcano will erupt in the long term but it is likely that in the days leading up to the eruption scientists will be able to predict the time frame of eruption and the size of the affected area. This time frame should allow for the citizens of the United States and Canada living in the area to be evacuated and relocated.
When the volcano erupts a large portion, if not all of the food grown in the region of the Midwestern United States will be lost. The land used to grow the food will also be lost being covered by volcanic ash. This will not only be a huge problem for the United States, but also for the global market. The lack of food produced by the United States will cause food prices to greatly increase. The matter also brings into question, the stability of other regions where large amounts of food is produced from natural disasters and what methods for producing food can be utilized to help lower the chance of loss from the effects of natural disasters.
There needs to be a plan to address the scarcity of food currently existing in the world and a way for limited water resources to be better used for agriculture. There also needs to be a plan for a new way to generate enough food to feed the growing population if the agricultural crops produced by the United States dropped by 50 percent because of the volcano erupting. The seven options for improving food security and the Global Green New Deal released by the UNEP will be helpful to review for the committee and generate new solutions to the complex issue of food security in an unstable global environment.
Key Issues to Consider:
- Are other areas where large portions of the world’s food supply are produced in the same level of danger?
- Are there ways to predict and evacuate the area if the volcano erupts?
- What would be the direct effects of the loss of habitable land in the US and Canada?
- How will this affect the price that your citizens pay for food?
- What new alternatives can be used to produce food to replace the food lost?
- Should there be global regulation for food quality standards?
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