From Mon Oct 20 14:59:41 2008

Date: Mon, 20 Oct 2008 14:58:43 -0400

From: "Morano, Marc (EPW)" <>

To: "Morano, Marc (EPW)" <>

Subject: [UTF-8] Gore in Tin-Foil Hat? Warming Goes Poof! Scientific Malpractice at UN Collapse of Environmentalism? Arctic Ice Up 31%! - Warming Bubble Round Up

Gore in Tin-Foil Hat? Warming Goes Poof! Scientific Malpractice at UN Collapse of Environmentalism? Arctic Ice Up 31%! - Warming Bubble Round Up

Sampling of articles in past few days October 20, 2008

Must see video: Al Gore Spoof Complete with Gore wearing Tin-Foil Hat! By impressionist Frank Caliendo of Frank TV

Excerpt: Impressionist Frank Caliendo does his best Al Gore basically admitting that, "it's the sun, stupid" - but Gore goes all alarmist, of course. [] We don't normally consider Al Gore a laughing matter -- but what the heck else can you do with him? Frank TV: New Al Gore Movie - Supernova! It's comin' y'all! - Impressionist Frank Caliendo does his best Al Gore basically admitting that, "it's the sun, stupid" - but Gore goes all alarmist, of course.

Global Cooling? - 'Thirty years of warmer temperatures go poof' - National Post October 20, 2008

Excerpt: In early September, I began noticing a string of news stories about scientists rejecting the orthodoxy on global warming. Actually, it was more like a string of guest columns and long letters to the editor since it is hard for skeptical scientists to get published in the cabal of climate journals now controlled by the Great Sanhedrin of the environmental movement. Still, the number of climate change skeptics is growing rapidly. Because a funny thing is happening to global temperatures -- they're going down, not up. [] It may be that more global warming doubters are surfacing because there just isn't any global warming.

UN IPCC = 'Worst case of scientific malpractice in history' says Climate Scientist Dr. Spencer

[ Atmospheric Scientist Dr. Roy W. Spencer, formerly a senior scientist for climate studies at NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center where he received NASA's Exceptional Scientific Achievement Medal, is currently principal research scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville. ]

Spencer Excerpt: I find it astounding that the IPCC has ignored the potential role of natural climate variability in global warming. In any other realm of science we are careful to look for alternative explanations for some phenomenonbut today, mankind is the only allowable reason for climate change.

I predict that the IPCC experience will end up being the worst case of scientific malpractice in history. Not that the scientists are at fault, I think they have just been led around by some politically savvy, almost charismatic, leaders.

MIT Climate Scientist Exposes Corrupted Science in Devastating Critique - Sep 24, 2008

Excerpt: MIT Meteorology Professor Richard S. Lindzen, confirms how Al Gore and his minions used Stalinist tactics to subvert, suborn and corrupt a whole branch of science, citing chapter and verse in his report entitled Climate Science: Is it currently designed to answer questions? His answer: A resounding NO!

Detailing the corruption, he names a series of names. Until reading this I did not know that: For example, the primary spokesman for the American Meteorological Society in Washington is Anthony Socci who is neither an elected official of the AMS nor a contributor to climate science. Rather, he is a former staffer for Al Gore. Page 5

Although a bit lengthy, this very important report is highly readable and revealing. While some of the paragraphs are a bit technical, I encourage AT readers to wade through them because their purpose is to provide specific examples of how a radical cabal is forcing scientists to ignore or amend measurements that undermine the theory of Anthropogenic Global Warming. Scientists are literally forced to include sentences in their papers that indicate their support of AGW, even if these sentences are non-sequiturs, or even if they conflict with the overall thrust of the paper. In this way, Al Gores uneducated political commissars are able to deliver the consensus he so craves.

How is this possible you might ask? Prof. Lindzen gives considerable background history. [] I naively thought that the National Academy of Sciences could impose some quality-control on an errant discipline. Prof. Lindzen notes that event this august body has been penetrated by eco-activists by exploiting loopholes in its nominating procedures. Fortunately, in science truth will out. The long term faith of the American public in science, a trust built up since WWI is at stake. Next it will be important to see whether a prominent scientific journal publishes this revelation.

Full Lindzen paper here:

New Paper: Global Warming was natural, not man-made! - New Paper from Roy Spencer: PDO and Clouds Global Warming as a Natural Response to Cloud Changes Associated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) - October 19, 2008

Key Quote: New evidence that most of the warming could actually be the result of a natural cycle in cloud cover

[ By Atmospheric Scientist Dr. Roy W. Spencer, formerly a senior scientist for climate studies at NASA's Marshall Space Flight Center where he received NASA's Exceptional Scientific Achievement Medal, is currently principal research scientist at the University of Alabama in Huntsville. ]

Excerpt: For those who have followed my writings and publications in the last 18 months (e.g. Spencer et al., 2007), you know that we are finding satellite evidence that the climate system could be much less sensitive to greenhouse gas emissions than the U.N.s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2007) climate models suggest. To show that we are not the only researchers who have documented evidence contradicting the IPCC models, I made the following figure to contrast the IPCC-projected warming from a doubling of atmospheric carbon dioxide with the warming that would result if the climate sensitivity is as low as implied by various kinds of observational evidence. The dashed line represents our recent apples-to-apples comparison between satellite-based feedback estimates and IPCC model-diagnosed feedbacks, all computed from 5-year periods (Spencer and Braswell, 2008a): The discrepancy between the models and observations seen in Fig. 1 is stark. If the sensitivity of the climate system is as low as some of these observational results suggest, then the IPCC models are grossly in error, and we have little to fear from manmade global warming. But an insensitive climate system would ALSO mean that the warming we have seen in the last 100 years can not be explained by increasing CO2 alone. This is because the radiative forcing from the extra CO2 would simply be too weak to cause the ~0.7 deg. C warming between 1900 and 2000 there must be some natural warming process going on as well. Here I present new evidence that most of the warming could actually be the result of a natural cycle in cloud cover forced by a well-known mode of natural climate variability: the Pacific Decadal Oscillation.

Update: Ice Reality Check: Arctic Ice Now 31.3% Over Last Year, plus Scientists Counter Latest Arctic Record Warmth Claims as Pseudoscience 10-18-08

Excerpt: 10/17/2007 5,663,125 square kilometers - 10/17/2008 7,436,406 square kilometers - ice = 1,773,281 sqkm or 31.3% more than last year - Source data here: (Excel file)

Scientists Counter Latest Arctic 'Record' Warmth Claims as 'Pseudoscience Comprehensive Arctic Data Round Up October 17, 2008

Excerpt: Arctic Reality Check: Why isnt the cooling Antarctic considered an indicator of what might happen to the rest of the world?

By Climate Scientist Dr. Ben Herman.

Herman Excerpt: First of all, the Arctic sea ice is at its minimum in September, not October or November as the scientists in the McClatchy article states. As Arctic ice experts, they certainly should have known this. Another point is that the Arctic temperatures do not "naturally peak in October or November". They peak in mid Aug ust generally. Also the article states that since the world's climates are interconnected, what happens in the Arctic may be an indicator of what will happen in the rest of the world. How about what happens in the Antarctic then? Since its ice area has been increasing, is this also an indicator of what might happen in the rest of the world?

Flashback: Alert: National Ice Center says satellites interpreting Arctic ice as open water! - By Andrew Revkin - NY Times Dot Earth Blog - September 6, 2008

Excerpt: And one of the groups focusing most closely on possible Arctic shipping lanes, the National Ice Center operated by the Navy and Commerce Department, says flatly that the satellites are misreading conditions in many spots and that there is too much ice in a critical spot along the Russian coast (highlighted in the smaller image above) to allow anything but ice-hardened ships to get through. In an e-mail message Wednesday, Sean R. Helfrich, a scientist at the ice center, said that ponds of meltwater pooling on sea ice could fool certain satellite-borne instruments into interpreting ice as open water, suggesting areas that have substantial ice cover as being sea-ice free. The highlighted area is probably still impassible ice, including large amounts of thick old floes, he said. I sent the note to an array of sea-ice experts, and many, including Mark Serreze at the National Snow and Ice Data Center, concurred.

OBAMAS CARBON ULTIMATUM: "Would-be President intends to blackmail -- or rather, greenmail -- Congress into falling in line with his climate agenda."

Excerpt: The coming offer you won't be able to refuse. Liberals pretend that only President Bush is preventing the U.S. from adopting some global warming "solution." But occasionally their mask slips. As Barack Obama's energy adviser has now made clear, the would-be President intends to blackmail -- or rather, greenmail -- Congress into falling in line with his climate agenda. [] Normally a democracy reaches consensus through political debate and persuasion, but apparently for Mr. Obama that option is merely a nuisance. It's another example of "change" you'll be given no choice but to believe in.

Paper: 'The next commodity to collapse will be mass-marketed environmentalism' National Post October 17, 2008

Excerpt: The next commodity to collapse will be mass-marketed environmentalism, which will come to be disdained - Stock market indexes have plummeted from their inflated peaks. Oil and other commodities have likewise plummeted. The next commodity to tumble from unsustainable peak levels: environmentalism. In part, I am making this prediction because, in my 30 years as an environmentalist, I have never seen so many governments and so many corporations so profusely espousing so many environmental causes. Where promoting environmentalism was once seen as daring and counter-cultural, today it has become banal, no longer the exclusive preserve of a Body Shop chain, but of every retailer down to Wal-Mart. For the same reason that clothes go out of fashion after the masses embrace them, mass-marketed environmentalism will come to be disdained. [...] A third reason for my prediction that environmentalism has peaked is the instinct for self-preservation among the political leadership. Thinking they could raise revenues while appearing green, opportunistic politicians have been promoting environmental taxes without having a credible case to make. The result, increasingly, is political ruin.

Global Warming Bubble? Investment guru sees a bubble forming around global warming - By Self-described "Internet tycoon" and venture capitalist Bob Metcalfe

Excerpt: In energy, government mandates favored the production of corn ethanol, which has created a food versus fuel debate that has brought criticism of biofuels. "When you muck with fuel markets, you are mucking with feeds and fuels also, we just found out," he said. With the influx of venture capital going to fund clean, or green, tech start-ups, many people are concerned that there is an investment bubble. Metcalfe sees a bubble forming around global warming, where there is a movement of consumers and businesses to address the problem. But bubbles are a good thing, Metcalfe said. "From Internet history, we know that bubbles are normal. Bubbles are an accelerator of technology progress. Bubbles go against the status quo. We should encourage bubbles," he said.

Brazilian Meteorologist Scoffs at Notion Mankind impacts climate more than Sun and Oceans

Excerpt: On the same day (Sept. 5) that areas of southern Brazil were recording one of their latest winter snowfalls ever and entering what turned out to be their coldest September in a century, Brazilian meteorologist Eugenio Hackbart explained that extreme cold or snowfall events in his country have always been tied to "a negative PDO" or Pacific Decadal Oscillation. Positive PDOs -- El Ninos -- produce above-average temperatures in South America while negative ones -- La Ninas -- produce below average ones. Dr. Hackbart also pointed out that periods of solar inactivity known as "solar minimums" magnify cold spells on his continent. So, given that August was the first month since 1913 in which no sunspot activity was recorded -- none -- and during which solar winds were at a 50-year low, he was not surprised that Brazilians were suffering (for them) a brutal cold snap. "This is no coincidence," he said as he scoffed at the notion that manmade carbon emissions had more impact than the sun and oceans on global climate.

UK Scientist: Climate change is governed by hundreds of factors, or variables Not Just CO2!

By UK Professor Emeritus of Biogeography Philip Stott of the University of London

Excerpt: As I have said, over and over again, the fundamental point has always been this: climate change is governed by hundreds of factors, or variables, and the very idea that we can manage climate change predictably by understanding and manipulating at the margins one politically-selected factor is as misguided as it gets. I wonder if we are witnessing the beginning of the end of the global warming nonsense? I really do hope so, although I could do without a cold phase to prove it.

Oops! Propagandists at RealClimate.org Let Truth Slip Out! The actual temperature rise is an emergent property resulting from interactions among hundreds of factors September 20, 2008

Excerpt: The Physics of Global Warming is Complicated: Physicist and historian, Spencer R. Weart, recently penned an article for the popular blog RealClimate.org in which he explained: Physics is rich in phenomena that are simple in appearance but cannot be calculated in simple terms. Global warming is like that. People may yearn for a short, clear way to predict how much warming we are likely to face. Alas, no such simple calculation exists. The actual temperature rise is an emergent property resulting from interactions among hundreds of factors. People who refuse to acknowledge that complexity should not be surprised when their demands for an easy calculation go unanswered. This is an admission that we are nowhere near a scientifically proven result with regard to the effect of CO2 on our climate.

MIT Scientists study finds: Data may be insufficient to compute mean sea level trends - Decadal Trends in Sea Level Patterns: 1993-2004 - By Dr. Carl Wunsch, MIT et al. in Journal of Climate - October 12, 2008

Excerpt: Conclusion: At best, the determination and attribution of global mean sea level change lies at the very edge of knowledge and technology. The most urgent job would appear to be the accurate determination of the smallest temperature and salinity changes that can be determined with statistical significance, given the realities of both the observation base and modeling approximations. Both systematic and random errors are of concern, the former particularly, because of the changes in technology and sampling methods over the many decades, the latter from the very great spatial and temporal variability. It remains possible that the database is insufficient to compute mean sea level trends with the accuracy necessary to discuss the impact of global warming - as disappointing as this conclusion may be. The priority has to be to make such calculations possible in the future.

Scientist shows Medieval Warm Period warmer than 20th-century temperatures

Excerpt: Also in September, American Craig Loehle, a scientist who conducts computer modelling on global climate change, confirmed his earlier findings that the so-called Medieval Warm Period (MWP) of about 1,000 years ago did in fact exist and was even warmer than 20th-century temperatures. Prior to the past decade of climate hysteria and Kyoto hype, the MWP was a given in the scientific community. Several hundred studies of tree rings, lake and ocean floor sediment, ice cores and early written records of weather -- even harvest totals and censuses --confirmed that the period from 800 AD to 1300 AD was unusually warm, particularly in Northern Europe. But in order to prove the climate scaremongers' claim that 20th-century warming had been dangerous and unprecedented -- a result of human, not natural factors -- the MWP had to be made to disappear. So studies such as Michael Mann's "hockey stick," in which there is no MWP and global temperatures rise gradually until they jump up in the industrial age, have been adopted by the UN as proof that recent climate change necessitates a reordering of human economies and societies. Dr. Loehle's work helps end this deception.