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2. Probability Distributions

2.1. Random Variables, Expected Values and Variance

Definition (random variable): A random variable is a numerical description of the outcome of an experiment.

There are two common types of random variables. They are:

Discrete random variable: a quantity assumes either a finite number of values or an infinite sequence of values, such as 0, 1, 2,

Continuous random variable: a quantity assumes any numerical value in an interval or collection of intervals, such as time, weight, distance, and temperature.

Definition (probability distribution (or density) function (p.d.f)): a function describes how probabilities are distributed over the values of the random variable.

Required conditions for a discrete probability distribution function:

Let be all the possible values of the discrete random variable X. Then, the required conditions for to be the discrete probability distribution for X are

(a)

(b)

Required conditions for a continuous probability density:

Let the continuous random variable Z taking values in subsets of . Then, the required conditions for to be the continuous probability density function for Z are

(a)

(b)

Note: As X is discrete,

.

As X is continuous,

Expected Value and Variance:

As X is discrete,

and

As X is continuous,

and

Important Properties of Expected Value and Variance:

are constants and X is discrete or continuous.

1..

2. .

3.

Example 1:

The probability distribution functions (discrete random variable) or probability density functions (continuous random variable) for a random variable X are

(a)

(b)

(c)

Find .

[solution:]

(a)

(b)

(c)

Example 2:

The probability distribution function for a discrete random variable X is

where k is some constant. Please find

(a)  k (b) (c) and (d)

(e)

[solution:]

(a)

.

(b) .

(c)

and

(d)

(e) .

Example 3:

Let X be a discrete random variable representing the number of hours

a college student spending on reading novels per week. The following

probability distribution has been proposed.

, ,

where k is some constant.

(a) Compute c. (b) Compute and .

(c) Compute a nd .

[solution:]

(a)

.

(b).and

(c)

and

Example 4:

The probability density function for a continuous random variable X is

where a, b are some constants. Please find

(a)  a, b if (b) .

[solution:]

(a)

and

Solve for the two equations, we have .

(b)

Thus,

Example 5:

The probability density function for a continuous random variable X is

Please find (a) (b) (c) and

(d) (e) .

[solution:]

(a)

(b)

(c)

.

Since

,

.

(d) .

(e)

Definition (cumulative distribution function (c.d.f)): .

Important Properties of CDF:

1. CDF is right continuous.

2. As X is discrete, ;

As X is continuous and is continuous, .

Example 2 (continuous):

The probability distribution function for a discrete random variable X is

Thus, the CDF is

Example 1 (a):

The probability distribution functions (discrete random variable) or probability density functions (continuous random variable) for a random variable X are

Thus, as ,

as ,

.

Thus, the CDF is

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