课程安排:

(1)课程名称:Stock Investment Analysis & Trading Strategies

(2)课程时间:2016年3月19日至3月26日;2016年5月7日至5月14日(共50个学时)

(3)授课对象:博士生、硕士生

(4)授课内容:

This course will teach students a number of stock investment strategies that have been widely used by institutional investors and equity hedge funds. In addition, it will teach students stock valuation techniques using DDM and FCFF models based on the EXCEL modeling.

Session 1

This lecture will present the following investment strategies:

Set up teams and create simulated PF management account

Use different orders

Market orders

Limit orders

Stop orders

Follow Warren Buffett

Portfolio holdings and change of holdings

Investment philosophy

Where to get the information needed

Stock pitch

Earnings surprises and PEAD

Introduction of analysts’ earnings forecasts/target price

Firm earnings announcement and conference call

Rationale behind earnings surprises/PEAD

Stock pitch

Session 2

This lecture will discuss the following trading strategies:

Stock split/reverse split

Difference between stock split and reverse split

Rationale

Stock pitch

Stock repurchase and SEO

Differences between stock repo and SEO

Rationale

Stock pitch

Momentum

How to measure momentum?

Possible explanations?

Stock pitch

PE ratio

TTM PE ratio

Leading PE ratio

Stock pitch

Session 3

This lecture will introduce the following topics:

Black swan and how to protect yourself from the next Black Swan?

Options trading strategies (options + stocks)

Using futures contract to manage your portfolio

Introduction of the financial statement analysis and stock valuation

Financial statement analysis

Firm earnings management

Session 4

This lecture will introduce the DDM and FCFF models

Constant DDM and 2-stage DDM

Use Excel to create a DDM

How to write a professional stock recommendation report?

Use stock report samples

FCFF model – part I

How to estimate firm beta after considering capital structure?

Use CAPM to estimate cost of equity

Use credit rating sheet to estimate cost of debt

Estimate CapEx

Session 5

This lecture will continue on FCFF model – part II

Estimate historical FCFF

Estimate firm sales growth rate

Forecast firm income statement

Forecast firm balance sheet

Forecast firm cash flow statement

Project free cash flows

Estimate option values

Estimate firm value and total value

Project free cash flows

Estimate option values

Estimate firm value, total equity value, and per share stock intrinsic value

Sensitivity analysis

Use PE multiples to estimate stock value

Wrap up