Operating Exposure
Operating Exposure
Operating exposure (economic exposure) measures any change in the present value of a firm resulting from changes in future operating cash flows caused by an unexpected change in exchange rates
Measuring the operating exposure of a firm requires forecasting and analyzing all the firm’s future individual transaction exposures together with the future exposures of all the firm’s competitors and potential competitors worldwide
Attributes of operating exposure
Operating exposure is far more important for the long-run health of a business
Operating exposure is subjective, because it depends on estimates of future cash flow changes over an arbitrary time horizon
Planning for operating exposure depends on the interaction of strategies in finance, marketing, purchasing, and production
Only unexpected changes in exchange rates, or an inefficient foreign exchange market, should cause market value to change
Measuring the impact of operating exposure
Short run
Medium run:
Equilibrium case
Disequilibrium case
Long run
Strategic Management of Operating Exposure
Management can diversify the firm’s operating and financing base.
A firm’s operationscan be diversified internationally
A firm’s financing sources can be diversifiedinternationally
Proactive Management of Operating Exposure
The four most commonly employed proactive policies are:
Matching currency cash flows
One way to offset an anticipated continuous long exposure to a particular company is to acquire debt denominated in that currency (matching)
Another alternative would be for the US firm to seek out potential suppliers of raw materials or components in Canada as a substitute for US or other foreign firms
In addition, the company could engage in currency switching, in which the company would pay foreign suppliers with Canadian dollars
Currency Clauses: Risk-Sharing:
An alternate method for managing a long-term cash flow exposure between firms is risk sharing
This is a contractual arrangement in which the buyer and seller agree to “share” or split currency movement impacts on payments between them
This agreement is intended to smooth the impact on both parties of volatile and unpredictable exchange rate movements
Back-to-Back Loans:
A back-to-back loan, also referred to as a parallel loan or credit swap, occurs when two business firms in separate countries arrange to borrow each other’s currency for a specific period of time
At an agreed terminal date they return the borrowed currencies
Such a swap creates a covered hedge against exchange loss, since each company, on its own books, borrows the same currency it repays
Currency Swaps:
A currency swap resembles a back-to-back loan except that it does not appear on a firm’s balance sheet
In a currency swap, a firm and a swap dealer or swap bank agree to exchange an equivalent amount of two different currencies for a specified amount of time