Assoc.Prof. Kadir KARAGOZ
CONTACT INFORMATIONCelal Bayar University
Faculty of Economic and Administrative Sciences
Department ofEconometrics
Phone: +902362333720 (Internal:206)
E-mail:
Address: Celal Bayar University - IIBF
45100 Uncubozkoy – Manisa, TURKEY
ACADEMIC DEGREES
PhD : Istanbul University, Turkey
MBa: Inonu University, Turkey
Ba : Marmara University, Turkey
ACADEMIC POSITIONS
Associate Professor: Celal Bayar University (2012 – …)
Assistant Professor: Karaelmas University of Zonguldak (2009 –2012)
Research Assistant: Inonu University (1995 – 2003)
Istanbul University (2003 – 2005)
Inonu University (2005 – 2009)
ADMINISTRATIVE EXPERIENCE
Chair of Department: Karaelmas University of Zonguldak, FEAS - International Trade and Management (February 2011 – September 2012)
PUBLICATIONS
Papers in the International Refereed Journals
“Determining Factors of Foreign Direct Investment Inflows in Turkey: 1970-2005”, e-Journal of Yasar University, 2 (8), 2007, (In Turkish)
“The Effect of Development of Information and Communication Technologies on Exports: An Empirical Analysis for Turkey”, Journal of Treasury, 153, 2007 (In Turkish)
“Tourism Potential of Turkey: Gravity Model Approach”, Anatolia: Journal of Tourism Researches, 19 (2), 2008, (In Turkish)
“Workers’ Remittances and Economic Growth: Evidence from Turkey”, e-Journal of Yasar University, 4 (13), 2009
“Determining Factors of Private Investments: An Empirical Analysis for Turkey”, SosyoEkonomi, 6 (1), 2010
“Estimation of Underground Economy and Tax Evasion in Turkey”, Journal of Treasury, 156, 2009 (with H. Erkus)
“Gravitational Determinants of Tourist Inflows in Turkey”, Karaelmas University Journal of Social Sciences, 6 (11), 2010 (with M.O. Saray)
“Stock Market Integration among Balkan Countries”, MIBES (Management of International Business and Economics Systems) Transactions, 4 (1), 2010 (with S. Ergun)
“Foreign Exchange Regime – Trade Competitiveness Nexus: An Empirical Analysis for Turkey”, Academic Review, 21, 2010 (with A. Sen) (In Turkish)
“Sources of the Economic Instability in Turkey: An Econometric Assessment”, S. Demirel University Journal of FEAS, 15 (2), 2010 (with Suzan Ergun) (In Turkish)
“Stock Market Integration in the Emerging Markets: Some Empirical Evidence”, Journal of Applied Research in Finance, 2 (4), 2010 (with E. Rezaei and I. Ege)
“The Relationship between Producer and Consumer Price Indices: Structural Brake and Bounds Test”, Journal of Treasury, 159, 2010 (with T. B. Sarac) (In Turkish)
“Trade Potential of Turkey with Asia-Pacific Countries: Evidences from Panel Gravity
Model”, International Economic Studies, 36 (1), 2010 (with M. O. Saray)
“Migration – Trade Nexus: Panel Gravity Model”, Sosyoekonomi, Special Issue, 2011 (In Turkish)
“Relationship between Inflation and Financial Development: Evidence from Turkey”, International Journal of Alanya Faculty of Business, 4 (2), 2012 (with N. Öztürk)
“Determinants of Tax Revenue: Does Sectoral Composition Matter?”, Journal of Finance, Accounting and Management, 4 (2), p. 50-53, 2013.
“Short- and Long-run Effectiveness of Devaluations: An Empirical Analysis for Turkey”, Celal Bayar Unversity, Journal of Social Sciences, 12 (2), s. 1 – 12, 2014.
“Efficiency Analysis in Turkish Agriculture Using Stochastic Frontier Inefficiency Model”, Journal of Global Economics, Management and Business Research, 2 (2), p. 72 – 81, 2015.
Papers in the National Refereed Journals
“Human Resources Management in the Globalization Process: Evidence from Organized Industrial Zone of Malatya”, Ataturk University, Journal of FEAS, 15 (3-4), 2001. (with Mehmet Tikici) (In Turkish)
“Exports and Foreign Direct Investments Relationship in Turkish Economy: a Time Series Analysis”, Journal of Economic and Social Researches, 3 (1), 2006. (with Murat Karagoz) (In Turkish)
“As a Social Policy Instrument the Impact of Foreign Direct Investments on Increasing the Employment”, Journal of Sociology Conferences, 36th Book, Istanbul University, Center of Sociological and Methodological Researches, 2008, (In Turkish)
“Tax Revenue – Public Spending Nexus: A Time Series Analysis for Turkey”, Tax World, 337, 2009 (with A. Mutlu) (In Turkish)
“Global Trade Potential of Turkey: Gravity Model Approach”, Cumhuriyet University Journal of FEAS, 10 (2), 2009 (with M. Karagoz) (In Turkish)
“Determining Factors of Trade Flows in the Black Sea Economic Cooperation (BSEC) Region: A Panel Gravity Model”, December 7 University of Kilis Journal of FEAS,1 (1), 2009, (with M. Karagoz)
Papers in the Presented atInternational Conferences
“ARIMA Modelling for Turkish Long-run Livestock Data”, International Conference on Livestock, 21-24 September, 1999, İzmir (with M. Karagöz, Z. Doğan, İ. Öztürk)
“The Relationship between Exports and Foreign Direct Investment: A Time Series Analysis”, 5th Statistics Days Symposium, 24-25 May, 2006, Antalya (with M. Karagöz)
“Foreign Direct Investments-Economic Growth Nexus from the Middle East and North African Countries Perspective”, 38th International Conference on Asian and North African Studies, 10-15 September, 2007, Ankara, Turkey (In Turkish)
“Foreign Direct Investment Inflows and Subjective Factors: A Gravity Model for Turkey”, International Symposium on Globalization, Democratization and Turkey, 27-29 March, 2008, Antalya, Turkey (In Turkish)
“Foreign Direct Investment Inflows in Turkey: Determining Factors and Potential”, International Symposium on International Capital Movements and Emerging Markets, 24-27 April, 2008, Balikesir, Turkey (In Turkish)
“Structural Change and Impact of Devaluations on Private Investment: An Empirical Analysis for Turkey”, International Conference on Applied Economics, 15-17 May, 2008, Kastoria, Greece (with Murat Karagoz)
“Determining Factors of Trade Flows in the Black Sea Economic Cooperation (BSEC) Region: A Panel Gravity Model”, Third Conference on International Political Economy on the International Economy in the 21st Century: Towards Globalization or Regionalization? The Institute of International Economic Relations, 16-18 May, 2008, Athens, Greece (with Murat Karagoz)
“The Reasons of External Debt in Turkey: An Econometric Evaluation”, 3rd International Workshop on Business and Economics, 28-29 June, 2007, Giresun, Turkey.
“Higher Education and Economic Development in the Balkan Countries: A Panel Data Analysis”, 11th International Conference on “Further Education in the Balkan Countries, 23-25 October, 2008, Konya, Turkey. (with M. Karagöz and N. Tsounis)
“Corruption, Economic Growth and Public Spending: An Empirical Analysis for Turkey”, 1stInternational Workshop on Economic Aspects of Corruption, 3-4 November, 2008, in Tehran, Iran (with Hakan Erkus)
“An Estimation of Underground Economy and Tax Evasion in Turkey”, 1stInternational Workshop on Economic Aspects of Corruption, 3-4 November, 2008, in Tehran, Iran (with Murat Karagoz)
“Trade Potential of Turkey with Asia-Pacific Countries: Evidence from Panel-Gravity Model”, 7th Conference of APEF (Asia-Pacific Economic Forum) on “East and West Asia Trade and Economic Relations: Opportunities, Challenges and Outcomes”, University of Sistan & Belucistan and University of Esfahan, 3-5 November, 2008, in Esfahan, Iran. (with M. Ozan Saray)
“Relationship between Macroeconomic Factors and Stock Market: Evidence from Turkey”, International Conference on Social Sciences (ICSS), SosRes, 10-12 September, 2009, İzmir, Turkey (with S. Ergün)
“Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on Stock Market: Evidence from Istanbul Stock Exchange”, International Symposium on Sustainable Development, International Burch University, 9-10 June, 2009, Sarajevo, Bosnia-Herzegovina. (with S. Ergün and M. Karagöz)
“Stock Market Integration among Balkan Countries”, Management of International Business and Economics Systems 2009 Conference (MIBES), 18-20 September, 2009, Florina, Greece (with S. Ergün)
“The Global Trade Potential of Syria: An Empirical Assessment”, The First International Development Conference of Syria 2010, 23-24 January, 2010, Damascus, Syria.
“Impact of Inflation on Financial Development: Evidence from Turkey”, Warsaw International Economics Meeting, University of Warsaw & National Bank of Poland, 1-3 July, 2011, Warsaw, Poland (with N. Öztürk)
“Seasonality in and Co-Movement among Newspaper Sales: Evidence from Turkey”, Media Studies and Communication: Research Approaches and Econometric Analyses, Applied Econometric Association & University of Porto, 7-10 July, 2011, Porto, Portugal
“Impact of Macroeconomic Factors on Islamic and Non-Islamic Indices: Evidence from Turkey”, 5thAnnual International Conference on Global Business, July 5-6,2013, Detroit, Michigan, USA.(with M. Karagöz and H. Şencal)
“Determinants of Tax Revenue: Does Sectoral Composition Matter?“, 5thAnnual International Conference on Global Business, July 5-6,2013, Detroit, Michigan – USA.
“Volatility in Tourist Flows: The Case Turkey”, International Conference on Eurasian Economies, September 17-18, 2013, St. Petersburg, Russia. (In Turkish)
“Entrepreneurship – Economic Growth Nexus: An Econometric Analysis for Turkey”, 6th International Congress on Entrepreneurship, April 24-26, Bishkek, Kyrgyzstan.
“Migration – Trade Nexus Revisited: Evidence from Turkish Emigrants in OECD Countries”, Turkish Migration Conference, 25 – 27 June, 2015, Prague, Czech Republic.
Papers in the Presented atNational Conferences
“Determinants of FDI Inflows in Turkey”, 16. Statistics Research Symposium, 10-11 May, 2011, Ankara.
“Development of Stock Market and Economic Growth: The Case of Turkey”, 8th Turkish Congress on Econometrics and Statistics, 24-25 May, 2007, Malatya.
“The Relationship between Exports and Foreign Direct Investment: A Time Series Analysis”, 5th Statistics Days Symposium, 24-25 May, 2006, Antalya (with M. Karagöz)
“Foreign Direct Investment and Employment”, 8th Turkish Congress on Econometrics and Statistics, 24-25 May, 2007, Malatya.
“Impacts of 1999 Marmara Earthquake: An Econometric Approach”, Disaster Symposium, TMMOB, 5-7 December, 2007, Ankara.
“Global Trade Potential of Turkey: Gravity Model Approach”, 9th Symposium on Econometrics and Statistics, 28-29 May, 2008, Aydın.(with M. Karagöz)
Theses
Ph.D. Thesis: “Bayesian Approach in Forecasting and Time Series analysis”, 2004, Istanbul University, Istanbul– Turkey.
MA. Thesis: “Estimation of Economic Models by Bayesian Regression Method”, 1996, Inonu University, Malatya– Turkey.
LANGUAGES
Turkish, EnglishMEMBERSHIPS
Turkish Econometric Association (2009 - )
COURSES TAUGHT
Undergraduate: Econometrics, Time Series Analysis, Statistics, Mathematical StatisticsGraduate: Applied Statistics, Time Series Analysis, Applied Econometrics