Supplementary tables
Table S1. Posterior mean genetic variance and 95% HPD intervals for eigenvectors of R.
b1 / b2 / c1 / c2 / m1 / m2a) Unstructured experimental design
r1 / 0.154 (0.110, 0.200) / 0.160 (0.113, 0.209) / 0.158 (0.112, 0.205) / 0.139 (0.102, 0.183) / 0.172 (0.123, 0.227) / 1.964 (1.153, 2.792)
r2 / 0.159 (0.109, 0.210) / 0.158 (0.109, 0.215) / 0.148 (0.106, 0.195) / 0.139 (0.099, 0.180) / 0.152 (0.109, 0.203) / 0.185 (0.129, 0.246)
r3 / 0.286 (0.183, 0.395) / 0.303 (0.184, 0.439) / 0.231 (0.157, 0.318) / 0.248 (0.161, 0.339) / 0.283 (0.184, 0.397) / 0.244 (0.159, 0.336)
r4 / 0.154 (0.110, 0.204) / 0.154 (0.109, 0.204) / 0.152 (0.107, 0.198) / 0.158 (0.110, 0.207) / 0.156 (0.109, 0.205) / 0.206 (0.142, 0.277)
r5 / 0.233 (0.153, 0.318) / 0.250 (0.169, 0.344) / 0.287 (0.186, 0.393) / 0.268 (0.171, 0.371) / 0.274 (0.178, 0.385) / 0.264 (0.173, 0.362)
r6 / 0.229 (0.153, 0.316) / 0.248 (0.161, 0.338) / 0.265 (0.173, 0.358) / 0.270 (0.175, 0.375) / 0.263 (0.174, 0.355) / 0.272 (0.181, 0.372)
r7 / 0.457 (0.256, 0.692) / 0.554 (0.296, 0.858) / 0.564 (0.295, 0.869) / 0.636 (0.331, 0.998) / 0.695 (0.340, 1.120) / 0.542 (0.270, 0.829)
r8 / 3.166 (0.881, 5.860) / 4.053 (0.725, 7.871) / 1.732 (0.510, 3.289) / 1.041 (0.390, 1.847) / 1.309 (0.426, 2.551) / 1.360 (0.435, 2.510)
b) Comparison of the b and c treatments
r1 / 1.432 (0.765, 2.108) / 0.527 (0.325, 0.719)
r2 / 0.198 (0.159, 0.239) / 0.203 (0.161, 0.243)
r3 / 0.178 (0.144, 0.214) / 0.164 (0.134, 0.195)
r4 / 0.180 (0.146, 0.217) / 0.185 (0.149, 0.219)
r5 / 0.213 (0.167, 0.255) / 0.215 (0.170, 0.260)
r6 / 0.354 (0.249, 0.454) / 0.348 (0.255, 0.442)
r7 / 1.970 (0.972, 2.970) / 0.845 (0.463, 1.196)
r8 / 0.834 (0.493, 1.199) / 0.731 (0.440, 0.996)
c) Comparison of the c and m treatments
r1 / 0.140 (0.115, 0.164) / 0.991 (0.660, 1.306)
r2 / 0.125 (0.105, 0.146) / 0.147 (0.122, 0.174)
r3 / 0.272 (0.208, 0.328) / 0.299 (0.229, 0.366)
r4 / 0.203 (0.161, 0.245) / 0.195 (0.153, 0.238)
r5 / 0.388 (0.283, 0.489) / 0.449 (0.320, 0.574)
r6 / 0.300 (0.231, 0.368) / 0.283 (0.217, 0.345)
r7 / 0.412 (0.299, 0.529) / 0.483 (0.339, 0.612)
r8 / 1.377 (0.708, 2.041) / 1.324 (0.690, 1.976)
Table S2. Posterior mean angles and 95% HPD intervals for the eigenvectors of Hin each of the six populations (b1 – m2).
b1 / b2 / c1 / c2 / m1 / m2a) First four eigenvectors of G
h1 / 4.5 (0.9, 9.054) / 3.9 (0.1, 7.9) / 6.0 (1.2, 12.1) / 8.1 (1.9, 15.7) / 7.2 (1.4, 15.00 / 9.4 (1.8, 19.3)
h2 / 14.4 (2.7, 28.3) / 13.0 (2.5 25.7) / 11.5 (2.4, 23.4) / 9.0 (2.1, 17.6) / 10.1 (2.1, 19.9) / 17.0 (2.7, 35.6)
h3 / 25.2 (5.3, 54.0) / 18.0 (2.7, 37.6) / 24.3 (4.0, 52.5) / 15.5 (2.9, 32.5) / 19.6 (3.2, 41.7) / 41.0 (9.7, 75.5)
h4 / 39.6 (8.8, 73.1) / 32.3 (5.3, 66.8) / 33.7 (6.1, 69.7) / 33.9 (7.4, 72.7) / 42.0 (9.6, 77.0) / 56.2 (24.5, 79.8)
h5 / 45.6 (14.0, 78.8) / 55.7 (19.6, 84.1) / 51.2 (18.0, 81.2) / 59.4 (25.9 85.3) / 47.0 (13.4, 80.5) / 40.9 (26.0, 52.7)
h6 / 70.7 (53.3, 85.8) / 75.2 (60.1, 87.2) / 71.9 (54.8, 86.0) / 72.7 (54.9, 87.1) / 72.8 (54.6, 86.9) / 41.1 (27.4, 52.2)
h7 / 78.9 (68.8, 87.9) / 80.3 (71.4, 88.3) / 79.8 (70.6, 87.6) / 80.1 (70.5, 88.0) / 80.1 (70.5, 88.1) / 73.5 (57.2, 85.9)
h8 / 78.7 (68.4, 87.5) / 79.6 (70.1, 88.0) / 79.9 (70.6, 87.7) / 79.0 (68.1, 87.7) / 80.0 (70.7, 87.7) / 82.0 (75.2, 87.4)
b) Eigenvectors accounting for 90% of the variance in posterior mean G
h1 / 3.1 (0.5, 6.5) / 3.8(0.8, 7.7 / 4.1 (0.6, 8.3) / 4.2(0.2, 8.6) / 3.4 (0.1, 7.5) / 6.9 (1.1, 5.2)
h2 / 9.7 (1.6, 18.7) / 12.9 (2.7, 25.7) / 7.6 (1.3, 15.3) / 4.7 (0.4, 9.9) / 4.8 (0.3, 10.2) / 11.7 (1.5, 25.6)
h3 / 14.2 (1.8, 29.2) / 18.0 (2.7, 37.8) / 12.9 (1.9, 26.9) / 7.0 (0.3, 14.5) / 7.2 (0.5, 15.2) / 24.4 (3.1, 54.7)
h4 / 19.9 (3.0, 41.3) / 31.5 (6.6, 67.6) / 15.8 (2.0, 33.6) / 11.1 (0.6, 23.6) / 10.8 (0.7, 23.5) / 36.9 (5.7, 70.7)
h5 / 20.8 (2.687, 44.9) / 56.2 (18.4, 83.8) / 22.6 (3.1, 48.4) / 16.0 (0.9, 33.9) / 11.6 (0.8, 25.2) / 35.0 (15.1, 53.6)
h6 / 62.2 (32.7, 84.7) / 75.3 (59.9, 87.3) / 63.2 (34.9, 84.6) / 32.9 (3.0, 67.2) / 23.6 (0.9, 54.4) / 35.1 (24.7, 45.0)
h7 / 73.7 (58.3, 86.2) / 80.0 (70.4, 87.6) / 75.7 (63.0, 86.9) / 60.6 (27.2, 84.1) / 66.4 (40.9, 85.3) / 67.6 (52.3, 82.3)
h8 / 75.9 (63.4, 86.3) / 80.7 (72.1, 87.9) / 77.1 (65.3, 86.1) / 62.5(33.7, 83.7) / 69.4 (47.8, 5.7) / 65.8 (52.6, 77.6)
Table S3. Posterior mean predicted response to selection (Δz) and 95% HPD intervals for the eight cuticual hydrocarbon log-contrasts (lc2 – lc9) in each of the six populations (b1 – m2).
Δz b1 / Δz b2 / Δz c1 / Δz c2 / Δz m1 / Δz m2a) Total predicted response to selection
lc2 / 0.749 (0.012, 1.568) / 1.098 (0.024, 2.118) / 0.173 (-0.166, 0.604) / -0.150 (-0.321, -0.016) / -0.037 (-0.409, 0.388) / -0.240 (-0.972, 0.486)
lc3 / 0.922 (0.182, 1.826) / 1.300 (0.185, 2.360) / 0.314 (-0.063, 0.719) / 0.132 (-0.022, 0.304) / 0.238 (0.065, 0.512) / 1.393 (0.050, 2.951)
lc4 / 0.757 (0.077, 1.519) / 1.163 (-0.051, 2.278) / 0.478 (0.045, 0.977) / -0.033 (-0.178, 0.130) / 0.121 (-0.146, 0.453) / 0.156 (-0.078, 0.382)
lc5 / 1.256 (-0.052, 2.723) / 2.258 (0.044, 4.278) / 0.681 (-0.364, 1.866) / 0.045 (-0.507, 0.634) / 0.172 (-0.610, 1.036) / 0.625 (-0.205, 1.571)
lc6 / 2.014 (0.104, 4.256) / 2.572 (-0.184, 4.984) / 0.509 (-0.394, 1.592) / -0.403 (-0.869, 0.016) / -0.002 (-0.782, 0.991) / 0.014 (-0.712, 0.814)
lc7 / 2.862 (0.656, 5.283) / 4.455 (0.534, 7.822) / 1.299 (-0.121, 2.832) / 0.286 (-0.423, 0.985) / 0.536 (-0.574, 1.898) / 0.980 (-0.029, 2.033)
lc8 / 10.149 (3.377, 17.974) / 13.579 (3.089, 22.790) / 7.019 (2.537, 12.238) / 4.912 (2.098, 8.196) / 5.220 (2.494, 8.100) / 5.700 (2.835, 8.893)
lc9 / 2.353 (-0.626, 5.494) / 4.403 (-0.701, 8.910) / 0.102 (-1.586, 1.982) / -1.016 (-2.227, 0.132) / -0.864 (-2.958, 1.258) / -0.252 (-1.554, 0.993)
b) Predicted response to selection attributable to E1
lc2 / 1.179 (0.297, 2.196) / 1.537(0.241, 3.003) / 0.598 (0.140, 1.150) / 0.330 (0.111, 0.606) / 0.459 (0.111, 0.912) / 0.304 (-0.029, 0.756)
lc3 / 0.507 (0.128, 0.944) / 0.661 (0.103, 1.291) / 0.257 (0.060, 0.494) / 0.142 (0.048, 0.260) / 0.197 (0.048, 0.392) / 0.131 (0.012, 0.325)
lc4 / 0.930 (0.234, 1.732) / 1.213 (0.190, 2.369) / 0.472 (0.111, 0.907) / 0.260 (0.088, 0.478) / 0.362 (0.087, 0.720) / 0.239 (-0.023, 0.596)
lc5 / 1.575 (0.396, 2.933) / 2.053 (0.321, 4.012) / 0.799 (0.187, 1.536) / 0.441 (0.149, 0.809) / 0.613 (0.148, 1.218) / 0.406 (0.039, 1.010)
lc6 / 2.572 (0.647, 4.790) / 3.353 (0.525, 6.550) / 1.305 (0.306, 2.508) / 0.720 (0.243, 1.321) / 1.002 (0.241, 1.990) / 0.662 (-0.063, 1.649)
lc7 / 3.281 (0.826, 6.110) / 4.277 (0.670, 8.355) / 1.664 (0.390, 3.199) / 0.919 (0.310, 1.685) / 1.278 (0.307, 2.538) / 0.845 (-0.080, 2.104)
lc8 / 7.015 (1.765, 13.062) / 9.144 (1.432, 17.864) / 3.558 (0.834, 6.838) / 1.964 (0.663, 3.603) / 2.732 (0.657, 5.426) / 1.806 (-0.172, 4.498)
lc9 / 4.379 (1.102, 8.155) / 5.709 (0.894, 11.153) / 2.221 (0.521, 4.269) / 1.226 (0.414, 2.249) / 1.705 (0.410, 3.388) / 1.127 (-0.107, 2.808)
c)Predicted response to selection attributable to E2
lc2 / -0.063 (-0.108, -0.021) / -0.079 (-0.146, -0.021) / -0.037 (-0.062, -0.015) / -0.022 (-0.035, -0.011) / -0.030 (-0.051, -0.014) / -0.159 (-0.221, -0.097)
lc3 / 0.644 (0.221, 1.115) / 0.808 (0.212, 1.505) / 0.376 (0.155, 0.639) / 0.226 (0.113, 0.360) / 0.308 (0.140, 0.528) / 1.641 (0.994, 2.274)
lc4 / 0.049 (0.017, 0.085) / 0.061 (0.016, 0.114) / 0.029, (0.012, 0.049) / 0.017 (0.009, 0.027) / 0.023 (0.011, 0.040) / 0.125 (0.076, 0.173)
lc5 / 0.277 (0.095, 0.479) / 0.347 (0.091, 0.647) / 0.162 (0.067, 0.275) / 0.097 (0.048, 0.155) / 0.132 (0.060, 0.227) / 0.705 (0.427, 0.977)
lc6 / 0.140 (0.048, 0.243) / 0.176 (0.046, 0.328) / 0.082 (0.034, 0.139) / 0.049 (0.025, 0.078) / 0.067 (0.030, 0.115) / 0.358 (0.217, 0.495)
lc7 / 0.349 (0.120, 0.603) / 0.437 (0.115, 0.814) / 0.203 (0.084, 0.346) / 0.123 (0.061, 0.195) / 0.166 (0.076, 0.286) / 0.888 (0.538, 1.230)
lc8 / 0.439 (0.150, 0.760) / 0.551 (0.145, 1.025) / 0.256 (0.106, 0.435) / 0.154 (0.077, 0.245) / 0.210 (0.095, 0.360) / 1.118 (0.677, 1.549)
lc9 / 0.436 (0.150, 0.756) / 0.548 (0.144, 1.020) / 0.255 (0.105, 0.433) / 0.153 (0.076, 0.244) / 0.208 (0.095, 0.358) / 1.112 (0.674, 1.541
lc2 – lc9 are the log-contrasts of the ratios to Z,Z-5,9-C24:2 of, respectively: Z,Z-5,9-C25:2, Z-9-C25:1, Z- 9-C26:1, 2-Me-C26, Z,Z-5,9-C27:2, 2-Me-C28, Z,Z-5,9-C29:2, 2-Me-C30. See Hine et al. (2011) for full details of these traits.