Appendix C. Total Fertility Rate in New Orleans and Alternate Comparison Cities of

Comparable Size to New Orleans, 2000-2010

Among women aged 15-49, by race and ethnic identification.

Black / White / Hispanic / Asian
New Orleans x 2006-2010 / -0.124* / 0.073* / 0.924** / 0.020
[0.061] / [0.034] / [0.141] / [0.103]
2006-2010 / 0.303** / 0.088** / 0.306** / 0.036
[0.040] / [0.020] / [0.100] / [0.065]
Year / -0.042** / -0.016** / -0.063** / -0.020*
[0.006] / [0.003] / [0.015] / [0.010]
Jacksonville, FL / 0.121* / 0.162** / 0.632** / 0.402**
[0.052] / [0.028] / [0.118] / [0.087]
Memphis, TN / 0.054 / 0.139** / 0.452**
[0.052] / [0.028] / [0.087]
Louisville, KY / 0.089 / 0.152** / 0.400**
[0.052] / [0.028] / [0.087]
Raleigh, NC / -0.259** / 0.015 / 2.197** / 0.207*
[0.052] / [0.028] / [0.118] / [0.087]
Richmond, VA / -0.293** / 0.070* / -0.015
[0.052] / [0.028] / [0.087]
Hartford, CT / -0.122* / -0.119** / 0.610** / -0.033
[0.052] / [0.028] / [0.118] / [0.087]
Birmingham, AB / -0.183** / 0.143** / -0.084
[0.052] / [0.028] / [0.087]
Buffalo, NY / -0.045 / -0.097** / 0.406** / -0.179*
[0.052] / [0.028] / [0.118] / [0.087]
Rochester, NY / 0.060 / -0.037 / 0.431** / -0.073
[0.052] / [0.028] / [0.118] / [0.087]
Grand Rapids, MI / 0.343** / 0.222** / 1.416**
[0.052] / [0.028] / [0.118]
Tucson, AZ / 0.083 / -0.092** / 0.982** / -0.078
[0.052] / [0.028] / [0.118] / [0.087]
Oklahoma City, OK / 0.221** / 1.429** / 0.122
[0.028] / [0.118] / [0.087]
Salt Lake City, UT / 0.503** / 1.726** / 1.576**
[0.028] / [0.118] / [0.087]
New Orleans (omitted)
Constant / 2.234** / 1.824** / 1.726** / 1.839**
[0.043] / [0.024] / [0.099] / [0.073]
R2 / 0.82 / 0.92 / 0.91 / 0.90
N / 120 / 140 / 100 / 130

*p<0.05 **p<0.01

Notes: Regression coefficients with standard errors in brackets. 10 observations (2000-4, 2006-2010) of up to 14 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs), abbreviated here with the largest city name. The specifications exclude cities with pre-disaster TFR values that did not pass parallel trends tests (see text). Columns 1, 2, and 4 are limited to women who identified as non-Hispanic.

Total Fertility Rate in New Orleans and AlternateComparison Cities in Southern Coastal

Regions not Damaged by Hurricane Katrina, 2000-2010,

Among women aged 15-49, by race and ethnic identification.

Black / White / Hispanic / Asian
New Orleans x 2006-2010 / -0.060 / 0.064* / 0.644** / -0.012
[0.055] / [0.032] / [0.234] / [0.162]
2006-2010 / 0.280** / 0.124** / 0.615** / 0.082
[0.044] / [0.025] / [0.209] / [0.127]
Year / -0.048** / -0.021** / -0.068* / -0.023
[0.006] / [0.004] / [0.031] / [0.019]
Jacksonville, FL / 0.153** / 0.158** / 0.492* / 0.386**
[0.046] / [0.026] / [0.191] / [0.135]
Savannah, GA / 0.046 / 0.098** / 0.874** / 0.103
[0.046] / [0.026] / [0.191] / [0.135]
Charleston, SC / -0.013 / -0.009 / 0.210
[0.046] / [0.026] / [0.135]
Myrtle Beach, SC / -0.061 / 0.062* / 2.016** / 0.467**
[0.046] / [0.026] / [0.191] / [0.135]
Wilmington, NC / -0.065 / -0.266** / 0.130
[0.046] / [0.026] / [0.135]
Tampa, FL / 0.102* / -0.039 / 0.707** / 0.134
[0.046] / [0.026] / [0.191] / [0.135]
Virginia Beach, VA / -0.040 / 0.198** / 0.212 / 0.228
[0.046] / [0.026] / [0.191] / [0.135]
New Orleans (omitted)
Constant / 2.247** / 1.833** / 1.735** / 1.844**
[0.039] / [0.022] / [0.163] / [0.114]
R2 / 0.64 / 0.91 / 0.81 / 0.31
N / 80 / 80 / 60 / 80

*p<0.05 **p<0.01

Notes: Regression coefficients with standard errors in brackets. 10 observations (2000-4, 2006-2010) of up to 8 metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs), abbreviated here with the largest city name. The specifications exclude cities with pre-disaster TFR values that did not pass parallel trends tests (see text). Columns 1, 2, and 4 are limited to women who identified as non-Hispanic.