Impact of climate change on vulnerability of forests and ecosystem service supply in Western Rhodopes Mountains

Journal: Regional Environmental Change

Tzvetan Zlatanov1, Che Elkin2, Florian Irauschek3 & Manfred Lexer3


1. Forest Research Institute Sofia, Bulgaria; 2. Forest Ecology, ETH Zürich Switzerland & University of Northern British Columbia, Prince George, Canada; 3. University of Natural Resources and Life Science, Vienna, Austria

Corresponding author: Tzvetan Zlatanov,

Fig. S1: Landscape projections of forest species richness under baseline climate (C0: panel a, b, c) a moderate climate change scenario DMI-HIRHAM5_BCM (C1: panel d, e) and a strong climate change scenario DMI-HIRHAM5_ARPEGE (C2: panel f, g), in the years 2010, 2050 and 2100. Figure panels b to g illustrate the projected change in species richness (range -4 to 4) compared to forest conditions in 2010 (panel a, range 1 to 5).

Fig. S2: Landscape projections of Shannon’s diversity index (H) under baseline climate (C0: panel a, b, c) a moderate climate change scenario DMI-HIRHAM5_BCM (C1: panel d, e) and a strong climate change scenario DMI-HIRHAM5_ARPEGE (C2: panel f, g), in the years 2010, 2050 and 2100. Figure panels b to g illustrate the projected change in species diversity (range -1.5 to 1.5) compared to forest conditions in 2010 (panel a, range 0 to 1.5).

Fig. S3: Landscape projections of the structural diversity index (D) under baseline climate (C0: panel a, b, c) a moderate climate change scenario DMI-HIRHAM5_BCM (C1: panel d, e) and a strong climate change scenario DMI-HIRHAM5_ARPEGE (C2: panel f, g), in the years 2010, 2050 and 2100. Figure panels b to g illustrate the projected change in forest structural diversity (range -2.1 to 2.1) compared to forest conditions in 2010 (panel a, range 0 to 2.1).

Fig. S4: Landscape projections of bird habitat quality under baseline climate (C0: panel a, b, c) a moderate climate change scenario DMI-HIRHAM5_BCM (C1: panel d, e) and a strong climate change scenario DMI-HIRHAM5_ARPEGE (C2: panel f, g), in the years 2010, 2050 and 2100. Figure panels b to g illustrate the projected change in bird habitat quality (range -1 to 1) compared to forest conditions in 2010 (panel a, range 0 to 1).

Fig. S5: Landscape projections of forest soil stabilization (LRI) under baseline climate (C0: panel a, b, c) a moderate climate change scenario DMI-HIRHAM5_BCM (C1: panel d, e) and a strong climate change scenario DMI-HIRHAM5_ARPEGE (C2: panel f, g), in the years 2010, 2050 and 2100. Figure panels b to g illustrate the projected change in soil stabilization (range -9 to 9) compared to forest conditions in 2010 (panel a, range 0 to 9).