2016 PONI Fall Conference

Draft Agenda

October 18-19, 2016

Sandia National Laboratories, Center for Global Security & Cooperation
10600 Research Road Southeast
Albuquerque, New Mexico87123

Day One: Tuesday, October 18

8:15Shuttle Departs from Hotel to Sandia, Center for Global Security & Cooperation

8:30Conference Check-in & Breakfast

8:55Conference Welcome

Rebecca Hersman, Director Project on Nuclear Issues and Senior Adviser, International Security Program, Center for Strategic and International Studies

9:00Opening Remarks

Jill Hruby, Director, Sandia National Laboratories

9:15Panel 1: The Future of Deterrence

Panel Moderator: Mr. Chuck Lutes, Director, Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction, National Defense University

Capability or Will? 21st Century Nuclear Deterrence for Global Strike Operators

Captain Chris Conant, United States Air Force

Missile Defense’s Role in 21st Century Deterrence

Wes Rumbaugh, Research Assistant, Center for Strategic and International Studies

Scottish Independence Part II: The End of the UK Nuclear Deterrent?

James McKeon, Policy Analyst, Center for Arms Control and Non-Proliferation

Anticipatory Strikes in Russian Military Doctrine

Alex Velez-Green, Research Assistant, Center for New American Security

10:45Break

11:00Panel 2: Nonproliferation Themes & Regimes

Panel Moderator: Michael Elliott, Former Deputy Director for Strategic Stability, Strategic Plans and Policy Directorate, Joint Staff

The ‘Accidental Middlemen’: Nuclear Umbrella States and the Humanitarian Initiative

Emil Dall, Research Analyst, Royal United Services Institute

Conceptualizing a WMD Free Zone in the Middle East: A Quantitative Approach

Eric Wallace, Sandia National Laboratories

Leveraging Nuclear Cybersecurity Leadership to Foster U.S.–Russian Collaboration

Elsie Bjarnason, MA Candidate, George Washington University

12:30Lunch & Breakout Session: Priorities for the Next Nuclear Posture Review

Participants will be placed into one of five schools of thought on nuclear thinking and asked to draft recommendations for what they believe should be the priorities for the next nuclear posture review based on their school of thought.

12:30 – 12:45: Review of schools of thought

12:45 – 1:45: Group discussion about priorities

1:45 – 2:15: Write bullet-point rationales for priorities

2:15 – 3:00: Return to conference room for 5-minute briefsand group discussion

3:00Break

3:20Panel 3: Securing Nuclear Materials and Facilities

Panel Moderator: Dr. Andrew Ross, Professor, George H.W. Bush School of Government & Public Service, Texas A&M University

How Vulnerable Are Radiological Materials Stored at U.S. Civilian Entities to Theft by a Terrorist Group?

Maciej Lempke, MA Graduate, Georgetown University

Reactor in a Box: Unpacking the Potential of Small Modular Reactors

Dr. Lizzie Murray, Atomic Weapons Establishment

The State of Nuclear Forensics: Achievements from the Last Decade and Challenges for the Future

Leore Ben-Chorin, Herbert Scoville Peace Fellow 2015-2016

5:00Shuttle Departs for National Museum of Nuclear Science & History
601 Eubank Blvd. SE
Albuquerque, New Mexico 87123

6:00Reception

7:00Dinner & Evening Keynote Address

8:30End of Day One/Shuttle Returns to Sheraton

Day Two: Wednesday, October 19

8:15Shuttle Departs from Sheraton to Sandia, Center for Global Security & Cooperation

8:30Breakfast at Sandia, Center for Global Security & Cooperation

9:00Small Group Sessions 1 & 2

Session 1: What’s in the numbers? The nuclear modernization budget debate

Moderator: TBA

Session 2: Implications of Brexit on NATO, US, and UK Nuclear Debate

Moderator: Rebecca Hersman, Director Project on Nuclear Issues and Senior Adviser, International Security Program, Center for Strategic and International Studies

10:30Break

10:45Small Group Sessions 3 & 4

Session 3: TBA

Moderator: Michael Elliott, Former Deputy Director for Strategic Stability, Strategic Plans and Policy Directorate, Joint Staff

Session 4: Intersection of Science/Technical Fields and Policymakers

Moderator: TBA

12:15Lunch and Small Group Overview

1:00Shuttle Departs forKirtland AFB for Sandia Facility tours

4:00End of Conference

Shuttle Departs for Hotel