R. Saltzman – DS 851 Outline – Week 1: January 29, 2008

Administrative

  • General Information
  • Project Information
  • Roll Call
  • Student Information

Course Overview: Key Components

  • Applications
  • Probability & Statistics
  • Modeling Environment
  • Simulation Methodology

Types of Simulations

Why Model, In General?

What Simulation Models Can & Cannot Do

Examples: By hand, in Excel, and with Arena

  • Monte Carlo: Estimating Prob.{2 heads in 4 coin flips}
  • Dynamic System: Waiting in a Post Office

To Do:

  • Install Arena & try to run any sample model
  • Read Chapters 1 & 2
  • Do Exercises 2.1 & 2.2 (will be reviewed but not collected)
  • Look over Article List: Pick 1-2 that interest you

R. Saltzman – DS 851 Outline – Week 2: February 5, 2008

  • Roll; Seating Chart
  • Review Exercises 2.1 & 2.2
  • Simulation Process
  • Problem Formulation
  • Data Collection
  • Model Development
  • Verification & Validation
  • Experimentation
  • Implementation
  • Article Summary: Call Centers[Handout]
  • Assign Articles & Presentation Dates
  • Key Simulation Concepts
  • Entity
  • Attribute
  • Resource
  • Event
  • State Variable
  • Performance Measures
  • Application Overviews
  • Call Center Strategy
  • Banking Transactions
  • Hospital Emergency Room
  • On-Street Parking
  • Assignment #1 [Handout]

To Do:

  • Assignment #1 – due next week
  • Read Chapter 3
  • Copy article & return to Saltzman

R. Saltzman – DS 851 Outline – Week 3: February 12, 2008

  • Assignment 1 due
  • Problem Formulation: Simplifying Steps
  • Data Analysis:
  • Histograms
  • Using Arena’s Input Analyzer[Handout]
  • Empirical Distributions
  • Sampling from a Distribution
  • Theoretical Distributions
  • Goodness-of-Fit Tests
  • Article Summaries:
  • ______
  • ______
  • Does the Distribution Really Matter?
  • Assignment #2[Handout]

To Do:

  • Assignment #2
  • Read Chapter 4.5 & Appendices C & D
  • Copy article & return to Saltzman if you didn’t already

R. Saltzman – DS 851 Outline – Week 4: February 19, 2008

  • Assignment 2 due
  • More on Input Distributions:
  • Random Sampling
  • How Random Numbers (RNs) are Generated
  • Inverting the Cumulative Distribution Function (CDF)
  • Why Interarrival Times are Exponentially Distributed
  • Little Data Case
  • Article Summaries:
  • ______
  • ______
  • SIMAN & Arena Fundamentals:
  • Brief History
  • SIMAN-Arena Relationship
  • Language Details:
  • Variables
  • Attributes
  • Expressions
  • Conditions
  • Review Assignment 1

To Do:

  • Read Chapter 12.1-12.2
  • Prepare your article summary (if you haven’t already)

R. Saltzman – DS 851 Outline – Week 5: February 26, 2008

R. Saltzman – DS 851 Outline – Week 6: March 4, 2008

R. Saltzman – DS 851 Outline – Week 7: March 11, 2008

R. Saltzman – DS 851 Outline – Week 8: March 18, 2008

R. Saltzman – DS 851 Outline – Week 9: April 1, 2008

R. Saltzman – DS 851 Outline – Week 10: April 8, 2008

R. Saltzman – DS 851 Outline – Week 11: April 15, 2008

R. Saltzman – DS 851 Outline – Week 12: April 22, 2008

R. Saltzman – DS 851 Outline – Week 13: April 29, 2008

R. Saltzman – DS 851 Outline – Week 14: May 6, 2008

R. Saltzman – DS 851 Outline – Week 15: May 13, 2008

Project Presentations: ~10 minutes per team

Presentation Order: to be determined randomly