SCIENTIFIC PROGRAM
Plenary Session 1 - October 1, 2007 (Monday), 10:40 - 12:15
Isla Ballroom
Plenary Session PS-1: Measuring Progress of Millennium Development Goals (MDGs)
Chair: Romulo A. Virola
· MDG Statistics and Global Monitoring
by Francesca Perucci
· The Philippine MDGs: Where Are We Now?
by Erlinda M. Capones
Plenary Session 2 - October 2, 2007 (Tuesday), 3:15 – 5:00
Isla Ballroom
Plenary Session PS-2: Gender and Governance Statistics
Chair: Purificacion V. Quisumbing
· Governance Statistics: Did Performance Matter in the 2007 Elections?
by Romulo A. Virola, Severa B. de Costo, Noel S. Nepomuceno, Kristine Faith S. Agtarap, Ma. Ivy T. Querubin and Mai Lin C. VIllaruel
· Women’s Unpaid Work
by Solita C. Monsod
Discussant: Ma. Lourdes C. Fernando
Session 1 - October 1, 2007 (Monday), 1:15 – 3:00
Palawan 1&2
Session IPS-1: Current Issues on Poverty
Session Sponsor: Department of Social Welfare and Development (DSWD)
Chair: Celia M. Reyes
· Measuring the Prevalence of Hunger in the Philippines Directly from Food Consumption Data
by Rechel G. Arcilla, Zita V. Albacea and Isidoro P. David
· Meeting the Challenge for Official Statistics on Hunger in the Philippines
by Romulo A. Virola and Lina V. Castro
· Asessing Poverty Lines by Revealed Preference
by Lina V. Castro, Mildred B. Addawe and Kristine Faith S. Agtarap
Discussant: Arsenio M. Balisacan
Palawan 3
Session IPS-2: Emerging Business Statistics
Chair: Margarita R. Songco
· The Characteristics of Selected Micro-Entrepreneurial Ventures: A Vital Tool Towards Success
by Lorraine B. Ngaosi and Gladys M. Navarro
· Exploring Complementarity Between Secondary and Primary Database for Measuring Interregional Commodity Flows Across the Philippines
by Cristela G. Dakila and Shoshi Mizokami
· An Input-Output Analysis of the Philippine BPO Industry
by Nedelyn M. Ramos, Gemma Estrada and Jesus Felipe
Discussants: Dante B. Canlas
Preceles H. Manzo
Emma V. Teodoro
Session 1 - October 1, 2007 (Monday), 1:15 – 3:00
Batanes 1
Session IPS-3: Statistical Modelling of Financial Series
Chair: Lisa Grace S. Bersales
· Conditional Correlation of Some East Asian Stock Market Returns
by Gregorio A. Vargas III and Dennis S. Mapa
· A Markov-Switching Model of Interest Rate, Foreign Exchange Rate, and Inflation Rate: An Evaluation of its Performance in Forecasting
by Joel Yu
· Range-Based Models in Estimating Value-at-Risk
by Nikkin L. Beronilla and Dennis S. Mapa
Discussant: Joselito C. Magadia
Batanes 2
Session IPS-4: Innovations in Science and Technology Statistics
Session Sponsor: Department of Science and Technology (DOST)
Chair: Fortunato T. de la Peña
· Innovation Systems - Opportunities, Readiness, Assessment and Measurement
by Stephen W. Braim
Discussant: George Sy
Session 1 - October 1, 2007 (Monday), 1:15 – 3:00
Bohol
Session IPS-5: Statistical Theory
Chair: Erniel B. Barrios
· A Bootstrap Procedure in a Spatial-Temporal Model for Corn Production Data
by Charlotte F. Dumanjug
· A Nonparametric Approach to Testing Constant Temporal Effect Across Locations in a Spatial-Temporal Model
by Jacqueline M. Guarte
· Generalized Method of Moments Estimation on a Linear Panel Data Model of Clinical Trial
by Aristotle B. Magallanes
Discussants: Genelyn Ma. F. Sarte
Joselito C. Magadia
Boracay 1
Session IPS-6: Re-tooling the Quality of Education
Chair: Romeo A. Isaac
· Tracer Survey of Agriculture Graduates
by Nelita M. Lalican
· The Personal Entrepreneurial Competencies of BS Entrepreneurship Students of the Cordillera Administrative Region and Practicing Entrepreneurs of Baguio, Dagupan and San Fernando, La Union: A Comparison
by Reynaldo S. Bautista, Maria Joan Pablo-Barlis and Asuncion G. Nazario
· The Effectiveness of Data Provision Through Quality Management System: Retooling for the Institutional Monitoring and Evaluation for Quality Assurance in Higher Education (IQUAME)
by Luvismin Sy-Aves
Session 1 - October 1, 2007 (Monday), 1:15 – 3:00
Boracay 2
Session IPS-7: Statistics at Work in Luzon
Chair: Marcial P. Estolano
· Parametric and Nonparametric Survival Analysis of Myocardial Infarction Patients Admitted in Dr. Paulino J. Garcia Memorial Research and Medical Center in Cabanatuan City
by Ma. Cristina V. Mingala and Marcial P. Estolano
· Poverty Profiling in Ilocos Norte: Methods Based on Livelihood System Approach
by Criselda M. Balisacan, Evangeline S. Galacgac and Marie Rose C. Aceret
· Legazpi City Barangay Socio-Economic Survey
by Joseph B. Esplana
Discussant: Marilou G. Abon
Lubang, Mactan 1 and Mactan 2
Student-Faculty Conference (organized by the UP Institute of Statistics in coordination with the UP School of Statistics)
Sponsors:
Statistical Research and Training Center (SRTC)
National Academy of Science and Technology (NAST)
Philippine Council for Advanced Science and Technology Research and Development (PCASTRD)
Southeast Asian Regional Center for Graduate Study and Research in Agriculture (SEARCA)
Session 2 - October 1, 2007 (Monday), 3:15 – 5:00
Palawan 1&2
Session IPS-8: Econometrics and Applications
Chair: Cayetano W. Paderanga, Jr.
· Econometric Applications of Sparse Principal Component Regression
by Erniel B. Barrios and Joseph Ryan G. Lansangan
· Convergence in Land Values
by Joseph Capuno
Palawan 3
Session IPS-9: Current Issues on Banking, Finance and Price Statistics
Chair: Diwa C. Guinigundo
· Identifying the Determinants of OFW Remittances: Which Exchange Rate Measure is Most Relevant?
by Francisco G. Dakila, Jr. and Racquel A. Claveria
· Financial Reporting Package: Enhancing Banking Statistics
by Lyn I. Javier and Jermy Y. Prenio
· Estimation of Standard Errors for Price Changes of Commodities in the Philippine Consumer Price Index (January 2005 - December 2005)
by Dulce Joy D. Zozobrado-Sorino
Discussants: Josef T. Yap
Rosemarie G. Edillon
Session 2 - October 1, 2007 (Monday), 3:15 – 5:00
Batanes 1
Session IPS-10: Time Series Analysis: Seasonal Adjustment and Forecasting
Chair: Lisa Grace S. Bersales
· Seasonal Analysis of Selected Philippine Time Series
by Jade Eric T. Redoblado
· Current Methodologies and Results of Seasonally Adjusting the Selected Philippine Time Series
by TWG on Seasonal Adjustment of Philippine Time Series (chaired by Lisa Grace S. Bersales)
· Forecasting from an Additive Model in the Presence of Multicollinearity
by Erniel B. Barrios and Gregorio A. Vargas III
Discussant: Dennis S. Mapa
Batanes 2
Session IPS-11: Challenges in Tourism Statistics
Session Sponsor: Department of Tourism (DOT)
Chair: Rolando Cañizal
· Developing the Survey Instruments for the Household Survey on Domestic Visitors
by Emma A. Fabian and Milagros Y. Say
· Understanding the Domestic Visiting Friends and/or Relatives (VFR) Travel Market in the Philippines
by Miguela M. Mena
· Sustainability of Tourism: Issues in Statistics
by Ma. Cherry Lyn S. Rodolfo
Discussants: Karina Rosa S. Tiopes
Raymundo J. Talento
Ronaldo P. Tiotuico
Evelyn B. Pantig
Martin S. Valera
Evangeline Ortiz
Session 2 - October 1, 2007 (Monday), 3:15 – 5:00
Bohol
Session IPS-12: Developments in Statistical Quality Control
Chair: Francisco N. de los Reyes
· Control Chart Methodology Change for Certain Variable Characteristics in Amkor Technology Philippines
by Ma. Sarah O. Bodino and Eloisa Reyes
· Hybrid Regression: A New Quality Control/Process Control Tool
by Jose H. Felizco, Jr.
Discussants: Charlie S. Labina
Josefina V. Almeda
Boracay 1
Session CPS-1: Meeting the Challenges in Health Statistics
Chair: Corazon R. Buenaventura
· Determining the Relationship between Physical Accessibility and Infant Mortality Rate (The Case of La Trinidad, Benguet)
by Virginia L. Anceno
· Count Model Estimates of Health Care Demand in Davao City
by Elizabeth M. Malonzo and Edmundo B. Prantilla
Session 2 - October 1, 2007 (Monday), 3:15 – 5:00
Boracay 2
Session IPS-13: Use of Statistics in Environmental Concerns in Visayas
Chair: Sonia P. Formacion
· Stochastic Process Applied to Catbalogan Water Supply Resource Planning
by Felisa E. Gomba, Ronald L. Orale and Ralph S. Uy
· Indirect Use Values of Oil-Spill Affected Mangroves in Guimaras Island
by Gay D. Defiesta
· Linear Programming for Bay Systems in Western Visayas
by Edwin V. Lerio
Discussant: Cherry T. Nepomuceno
Lubang, Mactan 1 and Mactan 2
Student-Faculty Conference (organized by the UP Institute of Statistics in coordination with the UP School of Statistics)
Sponsors: SRTC, NAST, PCASTRD, SEARCA
Lecture - October 1, 2007 (Monday), 5:00 – 7:00
Palawan 1&2
PSA Lecture on Sample Surveys
(organized by the Philippine Statistical Association)
by Dalisay S. Maligalig
Session 3 - October 2, 2007 (Tuesday), 8:30 – 10:15
Palawan 1&2
Session IPS-14: Generation of Local Level Poverty Statistics
Chair: Celia M. Reyes
· Responding to the Needs for Decentralized Planning: Small Area Poverty Estimates
by Joseph M. Addawe, Arturo M. Martinez, Jr. and Raymond S. Perez
· Design-Based and Model-Based Estimation of Poverty Measures at the Provincial Level in the Philippines
by Raymund G. Perez and Zita V.J. Albacea
Discussant: Manuel Q. Gotis
Palawan 3
Session IPS-15: Survey Design
Chair: Isidoro P. David
· Development of a Master Sample for Bhutan
by Dalisay S. Maligalig, Khandu Dorji, Melissa C. Pascua, Nima Deki Sherpa, Peden, and Dorji Wangdi
· Estimation Procedure for the Quarterly Survey of Philippine Business and Industry
by Gloria A. Cubinar and Erniel B. Barrios
· The Propensity Score Matching for Correcting Sample Selection Bias
by Emeterio S. Solivas, Girly M. Ramirez and Allan N. Manalo
Discussant: Dalisay S. Maligalig
Session 3 - October 2, 2007 (Tuesday), 8:30 – 10:15
Batanes 1
Session IPS-16: Statistical Computing Techniques and Procedures
Chair: Zita V.J. Albacea
· Recognition of the Tagalog Alphabet Using the Hidden Markov Model
by Rolando D. Navarro, Jr.
· A Genetic Algorithm for Constrained Statistical Matching
by Eliezer A. Albacea and Giovanni A. Flores
Discussant: Jaime M. Samaniego
Batanes 2
Session IPS-17: Trends in Building Capacities on Statistics
Chair: Gervacio G. Selda, Jr.
· Academic Programs in Statistics in the Philippines
by Lisa Grace S. Bersales
· Ensuring the 'Fitness to Use' of Administrative-Based Statistics at the Department of Labor and Employment
by Editha B. Rivera
Discussant: Tomas P. Africa
Session 3 - October 2, 2007 (Tuesday), 8:30 – 10:15
Bohol
Session CPS-2: Challenges in Banking and Finance Statistics
Chair: Iluminada T. Sicat
· Forensic Accounting: Hidden Balance of Payments of the Philippines
by Edsel L. Beja, Jr.
· Economic Growth and External Debt Servicing of the Philippines: 1981-2005
by Janice Abilene S. Patenio and Agustina Tan-Cruz
Boracay 1
Session IPS-18: Addressing Concerns on Health and Nutrition Statistics
Chair: Jaime Z. Galvez-Tan
· Validation of Food Insecurity Response vis-à-vis Nutritional Status and Adequacy of food Intake from the 6th NNS
by Allan A. Gulles, Wilma L. Molano and Ma. Erlinda R. Tarrayo
· Vitamin A and Iron Intake Among Pre School-Age With and Without Fortification of Processed Foods and Fortified Staples
by Ma. Regina A. Pedro, Cristina J. Garcia, Wilma L. Molano, Allan A. Gulles and Jeffrey Y. De Leon
· Prevalence of Malnutrition Using the WHO Multicentre Growth Reference Study and International Reference Standards: Issues and Implications
by Wilma L. Molano, Allan A. Gulles and Jeffrey Y. De Leon
Discussants: Cecilia A. Florencio
Rodolfo F. Florentino
Session 3 - October 2, 2007 (Tuesday), 8:30 – 10:15
Boracay 2
Session IPS-19: Statistical Approaches in Mindanao
Chair: Brigida A. Roscom
· Sequential Confidence Intervals for the Exponential Hazard Rate
by Junvie M. Pailden and Daisy Lou L. Polestico
· Sequential Estimation of Functions of the Exponential Scale Parameter
by Daisy Lou L. Polestico
· The Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks to the Philippine Economy: A Vector Autoregressive Approach
by Edgardo D. Cruz and Alain Ralph I. Cortes
Discussants: Joselito C. Magadia
Edmundo B. Prantilla
Lubang
Session IPS-20: Current Issues on Environment and Natural Resources Statistics
Chair: Demetrio L. Ignacio
· Determining Risk-Efficient Tree-Crop Planting Strategies Using Stochastic Dominance Analysis
by Faith T. Evangelista and Felino P. Lansigan
· Assessing the Effects of Climate Change on Rice and Corn Production in the Philippines
by Felino P. Lansigan and Arnold R. Salvacion
· Abandoned Biomass Resource Statistics in the Philippines
by Santiago R. Baconguis
Discussants: Damasa Macandog
Gregorio E. Santos, Jr.
Session 3 - October 2, 2007 (Tuesday), 8:30 – 10:15
Mactan 1
Session CPS-3: Women and Population Statistics
Chair: Dolores de Quiros Castillo
· Estimating Variation In The Incidence Of Violence Against Women In Region XI
by Jane C. Maratas and Agustina Tan-Cruz
· Gender Participation in Mangrove Rehabilitation Project Among Barangays in Samal Island, Davao Province, Region XI
by Grace P. Moralde
· Beliefs and Practices of Muslim Women in Mindanao
by Grace Edmar Elizar-del Prado
· Statistics on Filipinos’ International Migration: Issues and Steps Towards Harmonizing the Data
by Jeremaiah M. Opiniano
Mactan 2
Session PD-1: Panel Discussion on Election/Opinion Polls
Chair: Paula Monina G. Collado
· Post-Election Analyses of Pre-Election Polls
by Ana Maria L. Tabunda and Shiela A. Billones
Discussant: Filomeno S. Sta. Ana III
Session 4 - October 2, 2007 (Tuesday), 10:30 – 12:15
Palawan 1&2
Session IPS-21: Improving Gender Statistics
Chair: Emmeline L. Verzosa
· Documenting Cases of Violence Against Women, Particularly Trafficking and Prostitution
by Jean Enriquez
· The Experience of the Philippine Judiciary in the Generation and Gathering of Sex-Disaggregated Data
by Edna E. Diño
· Do Women Contribute Less Than Men to Nation Building?
by Romulo A. Virola, Jessamyn O. Encarnacion, Teresita M. Almarines, Armyl G. Zaguirre and Raymond S. Perez
Discussants: Alicia Bala
Carol Ruiz-Austria
Jeanne Frances I. Illo
Palawan 3
Session IPS-22: Statistics on Decent Work
Chair: Ma. Criselda R. Sy
· Decent Work Status Report: The Philippines
by Cynthia R. Cruz, Ma. Luisa Gigette S. Imperial, Jeanette D. Tana, Katherine B. Brimon, Ahmma Charisma Lobrin-Satumba, Dennis Joseph M. Cabato, Mary Grace L. Riguer and Stephanie B. Tabladillo
· Philippine Decent Work Statistics: Focus on Freedom of Association and Collective Bargaining
by Maragtas S.V. Amante
· Measuring the Informal Sector in the Philippines and the Trends in Asia
by Jorge V. Sibal
· A Shift-Share Analysis on Regional Employment Growth in Philippines
by Rosendo M. Aya-ay and Edmundo B. Prantilla