Tables

Table 1: The models which were tested for the prediction of Capercaillie lekoccupancy. The models are ordered from the lowest to the highest AIC. The AIC, delta AIC, AIC weight, marginal R2 and the conditional R2 were calculated on the basis of a training set. The area under the curve (AUC) was calculated on the basis of a validation dataset.

models / df / AIC / delta AIC / AIC weight / marginal R2 / conditional R2 / AUC
Proportion of occupied leks in the first nine leks, Distance to the fourth occupied lek / 6 / 939.62 / 0 / 0.49 / 0.37 / 0.52 / 0.74
Distance to the weighted cluster centre, Distance to the fourth occupied lek, Proportion of occupied leks in the first nine leks / 7 / 940.63 / 1.01 / 0.30 / 0.38 / 0.52 / 0.74
Distance to the weighted centre of the closest neighbouring cluster, Distance to the fourth occupied lek, Proportion of occupied leks in the first nine leks / 7 / 941.29 / 1.67 / 0.21 / 0.37 / 0.52 / 0.75
Distance to the weighted cluster centre, Distance to the fourth occupied lek / 6 / 960.76 / 21.14 / 0.00 / 0.30 / 0.43 / 0.73
Distance to the weighted centre of the closest neighbouring cluster, Distance to the weighted cluster centre, Distance to the fourth occupied lek / 7 / 960.95 / 21.33 / 0.00 / 0.31 / 0.44 / 0.74
Distance to the weighted centre of the closest neighbouring cluster, Distance to the weighted cluster centre, Distance to the fourth occupied lek, Proportion of occupied leks in the first nine leks / 7 / 960.95 / 21.33 / 0.00 / 0.38 / 0.52 / 0.74
Distance to the fourth occupied lek / 5 / 961.22 / 21.6 / 0.00 / 0.28 / 0.43 / 0.74
Distance to the weighted centre of the closest neighbouring cluster, Distance to the fourth occupied lek / 6 / 961.66 / 22.04 / 0.00 / 0.28 / 0.42 / 0.74
Distance to the sixth occupied lek / 5 / 964.44 / 24.82 / 0.00 / 0.25 / 0.41 / 0.72
Distance to the fifth occupied lek / 5 / 964.69 / 25.07 / 0.00 / 0.26 / 0.40 / 0.73
Distance to the third occupied lek / 5 / 967.52 / 27.9 / 0.00 / 0.30 / 0.44 / 0.73
Distance to the seventh occupied lek / 5 / 968.72 / 29.1 / 0.00 / 0.24 / 0.40 / 0.71
Distance to the weighted cluster centre, Proportion of occupied leks in the first nine leks / 6 / 980.66 / 41.04 / 0.00 / 0.26 / 0.50 / 0.74
Distance to the weighted centre of the closest neighbouring cluster, Distance to the weighted cluster centre, Proportion of occupied leks in the first nine leks / 7 / 981.65 / 42.03 / 0.00 / 0.26 / 0.50 / 0.74
Distance to the second occupied lek / 5 / 982.65 / 43.03 / 0.00 / 0.26 / 0.42 / 0.72
Proportion of occupied leks in the first nine leks / 5 / 984.23 / 44.61 / 0.00 / 0.27 / 0.50 / 0.73
Distance to the weighted centre of the closest neighbouring cluster, Proportion of occupied leks in the first nine leks / 6 / 984.84 / 45.22 / 0.00 / 0.02 / 0.37 / 0.74
Proportion of occupied leks in the first ten leks / 5 / 986.15 / 46.53 / 0.00 / 0.27 / 0.51 / 0.72
Proportion of occupied leks in the first six leks / 5 / 987.72 / 48.1 / 0.00 / 0.23 / 0.48 / 0.7
Proportion of occupied leks in the first seven leks / 5 / 989.6 / 49.98 / 0.00 / 0.23 / 0.47 / 0.71
Proportion of occupied leks in the first eight leks / 5 / 993.68 / 54.06 / 0.00 / 0.23 / 0.47 / 0.71
Proportion of occupied leks in the first five leks / 5 / 994.41 / 54.79 / 0.00 / 0.20 / 0.45 / 0.69
Distance to the eighth occupied lek / 5 / 999.32 / 59.7 / 0.00 / 0.15 / 0.36 / 0.73
Proportion of occupied leks in the first four leks / 5 / 1001.48 / 61.86 / 0.00 / 0.17 / 0.42 / 0.68
Distance to the first occupied lek / 5 / 1002.7 / 63.08 / 0.00 / 0.24 / 0.39 / 0.7
Distance to the ninth occupied lek / 5 / 1007.3 / 67.68 / 0.00 / 0.14 / 0.35 / 0.73
Distance to the tenth occupied lek / 5 / 1010.11 / 70.49 / 0.00 / 0.13 / 0.35 / 0.73
Proportion of occupied leks in the first three leks / 5 / 1015.94 / 76.32 / 0.00 / 0.12 / 0.38 / 0.71
Proportion of occupied leks in the first two leks / 5 / 1023.38 / 83.76 / 0.00 / 0.08 / 0.35 / 0.73
Proportion of occupied leks in the first lek / 5 / 1037.43 / 97.81 / 0.00 / 0.06 / 0.35 / 0.74
Distance to the weighted centre of the closest neighbouring cluster, Distance to the weighted cluster centre / 6 / 1058.8 / 119.18 / 0.00 / 0.02 / 0.37 / 0.7
Distance to the weighted cluster centre / 5 / 1061.17 / 121.55 / 0.00 / 0.02 / 0.37 / 0.71
Distance to the weighted centre of the closest neighbouring cluster / 5 / 1065.69 / 126.07 / 0.00 / 0.01 / 0.36 / 0.69