Demographic Change and Social Policy

Demographic Change and Social Policy –

A LAC Regional Study Authors Workshop,

July 14 and 15, 2009

Agenda and Participants -- Location: MC2-800

AGENDA

Morning Sessions July 14

Chair: Evangeline Javier, Director LCSHD

9:00-9:15 Opening. Evangeline Javier, Director LCSHD

9:15-10:30 Demographic Trends in LAC.

Speakers: Dirk Jaspers, CELADE and Paulo Saad, CELADE

Comments: Rafael Rofman, LCSHD

10:30-10:45 Coffee

10:45-12:00 Life cycle patterns and poverty over the life cycle – A comparison of 21 countries

Speakers: Daniel Cotlear, HDNHE and Leopoldo Tornarolli, CEDLAS

Comments: Francisco Ferreira (DEC)

Lunch Session (Keynote Presentation open to the public, co-sponsored with Center for Global Development) – Preston Auditorium

12:30-1:45 Some Macroeconomic Consequences of the Demographic Transition

Chair: Joy Phumaphi, Vice-President HD Network,

Speaker: Ronald Lee, Director of the Center on the Economics and Demography of Aging, U.C. Berkeley

Afternoon Sessions July 14

Chair: Tamar Manuelyan, Director ECAHD

2:30-3:45 Labor Market participation – trends, cross-country comparisons and the influence of pension systems.

Speaker: Bernardo Lanza Queiroz, CEDEPLAR

Comments: Carolina Sanchez-Paramo, PREM anchor

3:45-4:00 Coffee

Chair: Julian Schweitzer, Director HDNHE

4:00 –5:15 The fiscal impact of demographic change – projecting public expenditures in education, health and pensions.

Speaker: Tim Miller, CELADE

Comments: Francesco Billari, Bocconi University

6:00 Evening Reception

Morning Sessions July 15

Chair: Emmanuel Jimenez, Director EAPHD

9:00-10:15 Financing the lifecycle deficit with international remittances: Impact on human capital formation and on household (re) organization.

Speakers: Ricardo Bebczuk, Diego Battiston, CEDLAS.

Comments: Pablo Fajnzylber, LAC CEO

10:15-10-30 Coffee

10:30–12:30 How age influences the demand for health care in LAC

Speaker: Andre Medici, LCSHD

Trends in the demand for health care in LAC – Insights from the economics of happiness.

Speaker: Carol Graham, Brookings Institute

Comments: Rachel Nugent, Center for Global Development

12:45 – 2:00 Lunch

Afternoon Sessions July 15

Chair: Keith Hansen, Sector Manager Health LCSHD

2:00-4:00 Who benefits from public transfers? Incidence across income groups and across generations.

Speakers: Cassio Turra, CEDEPLAR

Comments: Francisco Ferreira, DEC

4:15-5:00 Summary comments and recommendations. Ronald Lee.

Next steps. Daniel Cotlear

5:15 Closing. Evangeline Javier, Director LCSHD

PARTICIPANTS

Session Chairs

·  Joy Phumaphi, Vice-president Human Development Network

·  Evangeline Javier, Director LCSHD

·  Tamar Manuelyan, Director ECAHD

·  Emmanuel Jimenez, Director EAPHD

·  Julian Schweitzer, Director HDNHE

·  Keith Hansen, Health Sector Manager, LAC

Authors presenting papers

·  Dirk Jaspers, CELADE

·  Paulo Saad, CELADE

·  Daniel Cotlear, WB

·  Leopoldo Tornarolli, CEDLAS

·  Andre Medici, WB

·  Tim Miller, CELADE

·  Bernardo Lanza Queiroz, CEDEPLAR

·  Cassio Turra, CEDEPLAR

·  Carol Graham, Brookings Institution

·  Ricardo Bebczuk, CEDLAS

·  Diego Battison, CEDLAS

Appointed commentators for individual papers

·  Ronald Lee, UC Berkeley

·  Francisco Ferreira, WB

·  Rachel Nugent, Center for Global Development

·  Rafael Rofman, WB

·  Carolina Sanchez-Paramo, WB

·  Francesco Billari, Bocconi University

·  Pablo Fajnzylver, WB

Other invited participants

·  Edgard Rodriguez, IDRC

·  Chris Scott, LSE (observer for IDRC)

·  Enrique Vega, PAHO

·  Jose Miguel Guzman, UNFPA

·  Jorge Bravo, UN/DESA Population Division

·  Michele Gragnolati, WB

·  Cristian Aedo, WB

·  Dorothy Kronick, WB

·  Amparo Gordillo. WB

·  Adriana Conconi, CEDLAS

·  Xiaoqing Yu, WB