TableI. Comparison of estimated and observed 1-year occurrence of IHD
for participants in the 2001-2003 examination.
Estimated 1-year rate / Number of indivi-duals / Estimated number of individuals developing IHD / Developed IHD
Women
Non-smokers / ≤60 y / no hyper-tension / ≤90th % / 0.003 / 718 / 2 / 0
>90th % / 0.004 / 68 / 0 / 0
hyperten-sion / ≤90th % / 0.005 / 154 / 1 / 2
>90th % / 0.007 / 22 / 0 / 0
>60 y / no hyper-tension / ≤90th % / 0.011 / 249 / 3 / 4
>90th % / 0.015 / 34 / 1 / 0
hyperten-sion / ≤90th % / 0.019 / 809 / 15 / 12
>90th % / 0.027 / 117 / 3 / 1
Smokers / ≤60 y / no hyper-tension / ≤90th % / 0.004 / 349 / 1 / 0
>90th % / 0.005 / 37 / 0 / 0
hyperten-sion / ≤90th % / 0.007 / 104 / 1 / 0
>90th % / 0.010 / 14 / 0 / 0
>60 y / no hyper-tension / ≤90th % / 0.014 / 158 / 2 / 4
>90th % / 0.020 / 11 / 0 / 0
hyperten-sion / ≤90th % / 0.026 / 277 / 7 / 5
>90th % / 0.036 / 47 / 2 / 2
Men
Non-smokers / ≤60 y / no hyper-tension / ≤90th % / 0.004 / 507 / 2 / 0
>90th % / 0.006 / 41 / 0 / 0
hyperten-sion / ≤90th % / 0.008 / 212 / 2 / 1
>90th % / 0.011 / 21 / 0 / 0
>60 y / no hyper-tension / ≤90th% / 0.016 / 185 / 3 / 5
>90th % / 0.023 / 24 / 1 / 1
hyperten-sion / ≤90th % / 0.030 / 424 / 13 / 13
>90th % / 0.042 / 48 / 2 / 3
Smokers / ≤60 y / no hyper-tension / ≤90th % / 0.006 / 257 / 2 / 3
>90th % / 0.008 / 23 / 0 / 0
hyperten-sion / ≤90th % / 0.011 / 121 / 1 / 1
>90th % / 0.015 / 14 / 0 / 0
>60 y / no hyper-tension / ≤90th % / 0.022 / 116 / 3 / 2
>90th % / 0.030 / 11 / 0 / 0
hyperten-sion / ≤90th % / 0.040 / 230 / 9 / 5
>90th % / 0.055 / 20 / 1 / 1
Total (n) / 5422 / 77 / 65

Abbreviations: y=years.

Estimated numbers are derived from the Poisson regression model constructed from data on

participants in the 1991-1994 examination. Observed numbers are based on 1-year follow-up of

participants in the 2001-2003 examination. Participants are stratified according to gender, smoking status, age, hypertension no/yes, and according to lipoprotein(a) levels below or above the 90th percentile.