CORRELAZIONE TRA VARIAZIONE DEL PIL E DEFICIT PUBBLICO

FONTI:

Eurostat ÞDataÞ DatabaseÞ Tables by themesÞEconomy and finance ÞNational accountsÞAnnual national accountsÞGDP and main componentsÞReal GDP growth rate - volume

1.  GDP per capita in PPS

2.  Eurostat ÞDataÞ DatabaseÞ Tables by themesÞEconomy and finance ÞGovernment StatisticsÞ Government Finace StatisticsÞGeneral government deficit/surplus

LINK:

1.  http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/tgm/table.do?tab=table&init=1&language=en&pcode=tec00115&plugin=1

2.  http://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/tgm/table.do?tab=table&init=1&language=en&pcode=tec00127&plugin=1

TAVOLE:

1.  tec00115

2.  tec00127

VARIABILI CONSIDERATE: Variazione reale del Pil; deficit/surplus in percentuale del PIL, anno 2014

TRASFORMAZIONI : Eliminazione dei paesi con dati mancanti

DEFINIZIONE DELLE VARIABILI:

1.  Variazione del PIL

Gross domestic product (GDP=PIL) is a measure of the economic activity, defined as the value of all goods and services produced less the value of any goods or services used in their creation. The calculation of the annual growth rate of GDP volume is intended to allow comparisons of the dynamics of economic development both over time and between economies of different sizes. For measuring the growth rate of GDP in terms of volumes, the GDP at current prices are valued in the prices of the previous year and the thus computed volume changes are imposed on the level of a reference year; this is called a chain-linked series. Accordingly, price movements will not inflate the growth rate.

2.  Deficit/surplus

Public deficit/surplus is defined in the Maastricht Treaty as general government net borrowing/lending according to the European System of Accounts. The general government sector comprises central government, state government, local government, and social security funds. The relevant definitions are provided in Council Regulation 479/2009, as amended.

TAVOLA:

Titolo: Real GDP growth rate 2014/2013 (%) and General government deficit/surplus 2014 (% of GDP)

growth rate / deficit/surplus
Belgium / 1,3 / -3,2
Bulgaria / 1,5 / -2,8
Czech Republic / 2 / -2
Denmark / 1,1 / 1,2
Germany / 1,6 / 0,7
Estonia / 2,9 / 0,6
Ireland / 5,2 / -4,1
Greece / 0,8 / -3,5
Spain / 1,4 / -5,8
France / 0,2 / -4
Croatia / -0,4 / -5,7
Italy / -0,4 / -3
Cyprus / -2,3 / -8,8
Latvia / 2,8 / -1,4
Lithuania / 3 / -0,7
Luxembourg / 4,1 / 0,6
Hungary / 3,7 / -2,6
Malta / 3,5 / -2,1
Netherlands / 1 / -2,3
Austria / 0,4 / -2,4
Poland / 3,3 / -3,2
Portugal / 0,9 / -4,5
Romania / 2,8 / -1,5
Slovenia / 3 / -4,9
Slovakia / 2,4 / -2,9
Finland / -0,4 / -3,2
Sweden / 2,3 / -1,9
United Kingdom / 2,9 / -5,7
Norway / 2,2 / 9,1

MAPPE

Esiste una sorta di confine in direzione Nord-OvestÞSud-Est che divide paesi in stagnazione e paesi in espansione.

Numero consistente di paesi fuori dai limiti di Maastricht (-3%)

Correlazione:

Lievissima tendenza alla correlazione positiva tra crescita del PIL e Deficit.