Barnsley in Brief

November 2007Local Authority Economic Briefing February 2009

North Lincolnshire

Summary

North Lincolnshire is one of the smaller local economies of Yorkshire and Humber although its GVA per head is above average. The average age of the population is 39, and its population structure shows an aging population with a steadily increasing proportion of older people.

In terms of employment and unemployment the area is one of the better performing with an above average employment rate and below average unemployment rate., although the claimant rate of the area is above average. Rates of pay in North Lincolnshire are above average for both full and part time workers.

Employment in the area is dependent on Manufacturing, Distribution, Hotels and Restaurants and Public Administration, Education and Health, with a much higher proportion of employment in Manufacturing than the regional average.

Businesses in North Lincolnshire are similar in size to the regional average, with the vast majority employing fewer than 11 persons, although most of the workforce work for large firms employing 200+.

The local authority has slightly lower levels of qualification at most NVQ levels than the Yorkshire and Humber average, although the area has a lower proportion of people with no qualification.

Average property prices in the area are lower than average, and prices have fallen by less than the region as a whole.

GVA

Figure 1: Yorkshire and Humber Local Authority GVA (£Bn) (2008)

Source: Yorkshire Forward Regional Econometric Model 2008

The GVA of the local authority of North Lincolnshire is £2.765 billion. This places the area 13th of the 21 local authorities in Yorkshire and Humber in terms of the size of its economy.

North Lincolnshire accounts for up 3.3% of the total Yorkshire and Humber economy of £82.957 billion.

GVA Per Head

Figure 2: Yorkshire and Humber Local Authority GVA/per head (2008)

Source: Yorkshire Forward Regional Econometric Model 2008

North Lincolnshire’s GVA per head is £17,151. This places the local authority 7th of the 21 local authorities of Yorkshire and Humber.

The average for Yorkshire and the Humber is £15,941, North Lincolnshire’s GVA per head is 108% of the Yorkshire and Humber Average.

Population Estimates

Figure 3: Mid Year Population Estimates 2007

Source: ONS Mid Year Population Estimates, NOMIS

North Lincolnshire’s population is approximately 159,400 making it the 13th largest local authority by population, and accounting for 3.1% of the regions total population of 5,117,000 people.

49% of the population is male and 51% female.

Population Structure

Figure 4: Population Pyramid North Lincolnshire 2007

Source: ONS Mid Year Population Estimates NOMIS

The average age of the population in North Lincolnshire is 39, slightly above the Yorkshire and Humber average of 38.

The largest age category for the population of North Lincolnshire is between the ages of 40-44 where 7.9% of the population fall. The local authority has a noticeably reduced proportion of persons aged 25-29 which accounts for only 5.5% of the total population.

Table 1: Population Age Structure 2007

Age Range Total / Age Range %
Aged 15 - 19 years / 10,400 / 6.5%
Aged 20 - 24 years / 8,700 / 5.5%
Aged 25 - 29 years / 7,800 / 4.9%
Aged 30 - 34 years / 8,300 / 5.2%
Aged 35 - 39 years / 11,500 / 7.2%
Aged 40 - 44 years / 12,600 / 7.9%
Aged 45 - 49 years / 11,600 / 7.3%
Aged 50 - 54 years / 10,700 / 6.7%
Aged 55 - 59 years / 11,200 / 7.0%
Aged 60 - 64 years / 10,400 / 6.5%
Aged 65 - 69 years / 8,100 / 5.1%
Aged 70 - 74 years / 7,000 / 4.4%
Aged 75 - 79 years / 5,500 / 3.5%
Aged 80 - 84 years / 4,000 / 2.5%
Aged 85 and over / 3,400 / 2.1%
Total / 159,400
Working Age Total / 103,200
Working Age % / 64.74%

Source: ONS Mid Year Population Estimates NOMIS

House Prices

Figure 5: Average Property Prices in North Lincolnshire

Source: Land Registry

The average property price in North Lincolnshire is £114,874, this is 89% of the Yorkshire and Humber average of £128,955.

There is a particularly large difference between the average price of Maisonette/Flat type properties in North Lincolnshire and the rest of the region with the average price being just 74% of the regional average.

The average property price has declined by 8% in the last year, this compares well with the 12% decline seen across the region.

Table 2: Average Property Values in North Lincolnshire (£) December 2008

Area / Detached (£) / Semi-Detached (£) / Terraced (£) / Maisonette/Flat (£) / All Properties
Yorkshire and Humber / 215,011 / 116,799 / 82,490 / 115,897 / 128,955
North Lincolnshire / 169,329 / 92,882 / 66,095 / 60,538 / 114,874

Source: Land Registry

Employment Rate

Figure 6: Yorkshire and Humber Local Authority Employment Rates July 2007-June 2008

Source: ONS NOMIS

North Lincolnshire has an employment rate of 75.4% placing it 8th of the Regions local authorities. The employment rate is above the Yorkshire and Humber average of 73.3%.

Unemployment Rate ILO

Figure 7: Yorkshire and Humber Local Authority Unemployment Rate (June 07 – July 08)

Source: ONS Labour Force Survey NOMIS

North Lincolnshire has an unemployment rate of 5.3% which places it 9th lowest in the Yorkshire and Humber region. The unemployment rate is 0.3 points lower that the regional average of 5.6%.

Figure 8: Yorkshire and Humber Local Authority Claimant Count Rates (January 2009)

Source: ONS Jobs Centre Plus, NOMIS.

·  North Lincolnshire has a claimant rate of 4.4% which places it 6th highest in the Yorkshire and Humber region. The employment rate is 0.5 points higher than the regional average of 3.9%.

Economically Inactive

Figure 9: Yorkshire and Humber Local Authority Economic Inactivity Rate (As a percent of working age population. (Jul2007-June 2008)

Source: ONS, Annual Population Survey, NOMIS

North Lincolnshire has an economic inactivity rate of 20.4% which places it 4th highest of the Yorkshire and Humber local authorities. The economic inactivity rate is 1.9 points lower than the Yorkshire and Humber average of 22.3%

Earnings

Figure 10: Gross Hourly Pay (Full Time Workers) (2008)

Source: ONS, Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings, NOMIS

Gross hourly pay for full time workers is £11.04 in North Lincolnshire. This places the region 11th of the local authorities and slightly above the Yorkshire and Humber average of £10.95 per hour.

Figure 11: Gross Weekly Pay (Part Time Workers) (2008)

Source: ONS, Annual Survey of Hours and Earnings, NOMIS

Gross hourly pay for part time workers in is £7.04 in North Lincolnshire. This places the region 9th of the local authorities and is above the Yorkshire and Humber average of £6.98 per hour.

Business Profile

There are 5,942 business units in North Lincolnshire.

Figure 12: Breakdown of Businesses by Broad Industrial Sector 2007

Source: ONS Annual Business Inquiry, NOMIS

The largest business sector in North Lincolnshire by business numbers is the Distribution, Hotels and Restaurants sector (31%), followed by the Banking Finance and Insurance sector (23%) and Construction (12%).

The smallest sectors are Agriculture, Fishing, Energy and Water (1%), Other Services (7%) and Manufacturing (8%).

North Lincolnshire has a much higher proportion of businesses in the Transport and Communication, and Construction sectors industry than the Yorkshire and Humber average and fewer in Banking, Finance and Insurance. Its other sectors are broadly similar to the Yorkshire and Humber average.

Figure 13: Breakdown of Employment by Broad Industrial Sector 2007

Source: ONS Annual Business Inquiry, NOMIS

The largest sectors by employment are Manufacturing (23%) followed by Distribution Hotels and Restaurants (22%) and Public Administration Education and Health (22%).

The smallest sectors are Agriculture, Fishing, Energy and Water (2%), Other Services (3%), and Construction (8%).

North Lincolnshire has proportionally more employment in Manufacturing, and Transport and Communication and less in Banking Finance and Insurance and Public Administration, Education and Health than the Yorkshire and Humber average.

Figure 14: Number of Businesses by Number of Employees 2007

Source: ONS Annual Business Survey NOMIS

The employment profile of businesses in North Lincolnshire is very similar to the Yorkshire and Humber Average. The area has 4,903 businesses employing 1-10, 814 businesses employing 11-49, 190 businesses employing 50-199 and 35 employing 200+.

Figure 15: Number of Employees by size of firm (by employees) 2007

Source: ONS Annual Business Survey NOMIS

North Lincolnshire has slightly more people employed in small sized firms, and slightly fewer in large sized firms than the Yorkshire and Humber average.

The area has 14,304 people employed in firms employing 1-10, 18,606 people in firms employing 11-49, 17,473 people employed in firms employing 50-199 and 19,638 people employed in firms employing over 200.

Companies

Table 3: Top 10 North Lincolnshire Companies by Employees

Company name / Operating revenue
£'000s
Last avail. year / Number of
employees
Last avail. year / Primary
UK SIC (2003)
description
SCUNTHORPE BOROUGH COUNCIL / 270,186 / 7,000 / General (overall) public service activities
NORTH LINCOLNSHIRE COUNCIL / 231,588 / 6,000 / Regulation of the activities of agencies that provide health care, education, cultural services and other social services excluding social security
DECIDEBLOOM LIMITED / 163,565 / 809 / Sale of motor vehicles
LIST GROUP PLC / 21,955 / 753 / Business and management consultancy activities
CLUGSTON GROUP LIMITED / 108,304 / 703 / General construction of buildings and civil engineering works
HANSON RESOURCE MANAGEMENT LIMITED / 22,692 / 688 / Other manufacturing not elsewhere classified
KEY COUNTRY FOODS LIMITED / 157,108 / 550 / Production of meat and poultry meat products
CLUGSTON CONSTRUCTION LIMITED / 90,675 / 506 / General construction of buildings and civil engineering works
KEADBY GENERATION LIMITED / 431,500 / 457 / Production of electricity
COLEPCCL UK LIMITED / 58,979 / 303 / Manufacture of basic pharmaceutical products

Source: Mint Database

The largest employer in North Lincolnshire is Scunthorpe Borough Council, followed by North Lincolnshire Council, and Decidebloom Ltd a car retailer.

Table 4: Top 10 North Lincolnshire Companies by Turnover

Company name / Operating revenue
£'000s
Last avail. year / Number of
employees
Last avail. year / Primary
UK SIC (2003)
description
KEADBY GENERATION LIMITED / 431,500 / 457 / Production of electricity
SCUNTHORPE BOROUGH COUNCIL / 270,186 / 7,000 / General (overall) public service activities
NORTH LINCOLNSHIRE COUNCIL / 231,588 / 6,000 / Regulation of the activities of agencies that provide health care, education, cultural services and other social services excluding social security
DECIDEBLOOM LIMITED / 163,565 / 809 / Sale of motor vehicles
KEY COUNTRY FOODS LIMITED / 157,108 / 550 / Production of meat and poultry meat products
CAPARO MERCHANT BAR PLC / 114,163 / 184 / Manufacture of basic iron and steel and ferro-alloys (ECSC)
CLUGSTON GROUP LIMITED / 108,304 / 703 / General construction of buildings and civil engineering works
JOTUN PAINTS (EUROPE) LIMITED / 106,932 / 219 / Manufacture of paints, varnishes and similar coatings, printing inks and mastics
CLUGSTON CONSTRUCTION LIMITED / 90,675 / 506 / General construction of buildings and civil engineering works
ESCA FOOD SOLUTIONS LIMITED / 74,729 / 181 / Production of meat and poultry meat products

Source: Mint Database

The largest company in North Lincolnshire by Turnover is Keadby Generation Ltd, followed by Scunthorpe Borough Council a food manufacturer and North Lincolnshire Council.

Qualifications

Figure 16: % of Working Age Population with Qualification by NVQ (2007)

Source: ONS Annual Population Survey

North Lincolnshire has lower levels of qualification than the Yorkshire and Humber average at all NVQ levels except NVQ1, and a lower proportion with no qualification. 10.2% of the working age population has no qualification in North Lincolnshire compared with 14.5% across the region.

Every six months, Yorkshire Forward produces briefings for MPs in the Yorkshire and Humber region. In this latest briefing, we are focusing attention on key socio-economic and environmental indicators in the region including factors such as incapacity benefit and car ownership. The briefing also looks more closely at employment and what might be needed to achieve the Regional Economic Strategy target for increasing employment rates.

Figure 1 – Population

Source: Office for National Statistics, mid-year population estimates.

*Source: Yorkshire Futures/University of Leeds, Yorkshire and Humber Population Projections: age and ethnicity, September 2006.

# Current population growth is calculated - live birth minus death rate/1,000 = annual population growth in an area.

Population Density - Across England the average population density is 390 people per square kilometre, and in Yorkshire and Humber this falls to 334. However, in Barnsley the population density is more than double the region at 679. Population densities vary considerably across the South Yorkshire sub-region – from 511 in Doncaster up to 1,429 in Sheffield. This reflects the world trend in growth of urbanisation, but also highlights the different issues of service provision, infrastructure and economic growth faced by urban/rural local authority districts.

Population change from 2001 – 2006 – Population in England has increased by 3.3% (Index 103.3 where no change = 100), and Yorkshire and Humber has experienced marginally higher population growth of 3.6%.

Population growth - the current annual population growth for Yorkshire and Humber is 0.2%, and this does not take full account of recent immigration or migration numbers that are difficult to capture. Whilst this is lower than the national average, annual growth is forecast to continue.

Population projection to 2030 - Recent work by the University of Leeds for Yorkshire Futures suggests that the population of South Yorkshire is expected to grow by 5.5% by 2030 – less than the rate expected for the region as a whole (8.5%). The population of Barnsley is forecast to increase by 9.3%, whilst within the sub-region the smallest population increases are expected to be in Doncaster – a 3.5% increase by 2030.