1000 Sofia; 56 Solunska Str.; phone (+359 2) 930 6619; fax(+359 2) 951 6348; e-mail:

International Conference

Sofia, 19-20 April, 2008

Turkey and the European Union: Accession Prospects and

Non-accession Alternatives

Conference concept and goals

The question of whether Turkey will be accepted as full-fledged member of the European Union (EU) is still open, despite the official launch of accession negotiations more than two years ago. The public opinion within the EU member-states is continuously perceived as a factor that can potentially block Turkey’s membership and the discussion of alternatives to full-fledged membership is still an open question on the agenda of the European public debate.

As a new member of the European Union Bulgaria faces the responsibility to contribute to the European debate on further enlargement and formulate a clear stand on Turkey’s EU accession. The sharing of a common border with Turkey, as well as the existence of a Turkish ethnic minority with a political representation of key importance in Bulgaria, adds up to the growing significance of this debate to the Bulgarian public.

In order to contribute to an informed public debate on the topic, the Open Society Institute- Sofia is organizing an international conference to provide forum for open discussion on the perspectives and implications deriving from possible accession and non-accession scenarios for Turkey and the EU.

PROGRAM

First day, April 19 (Saturday), 2008

“Sofia” hall, Grand Hotel Sofia

Registration of participants: 9:30 – 10:00

Official opening and address

10:00 – 10:30

Georgi Stoytchev
Executive Director, Open Society Institute- Sofia

Gergana Grancharova

Minister of European Affairs of the Republic of Bulgaria

First panel: Turkey’s EU Accession Process – Perspectives and Risks

10:30 - 13:00

Within this panel the perspectives for Turkey’s EU accession, as well as the risks to blocking Turkey’s full-fledged membership prospect will be analysed. The discussion will focus on the dynamics of public opinion and the political processes within the member-states and in Turkey.

Turkish EU-Membership Outlook:

Charles Jenkins

Director, Western Europe, Country Analysis, Economist Intelligence Unit, United Kingdom

Chair of the panel

Public Opinion in Member States as a Risk Factor to Turkey’s EU Membership

Dr. Angelos Giannakopoulos

Scientific Researcher, University of Konstanz, Germany

Other Risk Factors – Dimensions of EU’s Integration Capacity

Prof. Dr. Jean Marcou

Researcher at the French Institute of Anatolian Studies – Istanbul – Turkey

Coffee break

11:15 – 11:30

Turkish bureaucratic and public attitudes on accession to the EU

Prof. Dr. Kemal Kirisci

Department of Political Sciences, Boğaziçi University, Istanbul

Discussant:

Antoinette Primatarova

Program Director, Center for Liberal Strategies, Sofia

Questions and Answers Session

13:00 – 14:30

Lunch buffet

Second panel: The Alternatives to Membership – Dimensions and Possible Implications

14:30 - 17:00

The goal of this panel’s discussion will be to provide a review of alternative scenarios for Turkey’s developments against the possibility for denial of full-fledged EU membership. The feasibility of such alternatives will be analysed, as well as their possible impact on the EU and on Turkey’s broad neighbourhood.

Review of the possible alternatives:

Prof. William Hale

Sabanci University, Istanbul Turkey

Chair of the panel

Alternatives to Full-fledged Membership – the Viewpoint of EU Member-States

Prof. Dr. Claus Leggewie

Director, Kulturwissenschaftliches Institut, Essen, Germany

The Alternatives to EU-Membership - An Outlook from Turkey

Prof. Sinan Ülgen

Chairman, Centre for Economic and Foreign Policy Studies (EDAM), Istanbul

Coffee break

15:15 – 15:30

The Alternatives to EU-Membership and Effects on Transatlantic Relations – a View from Central Europe

David Král
President, EUROPEUM Institute for European Policy, Prague

The Alternatives to EU-Membership and Their Global Effects

Dr. Ömer Taşpinar

Director of the Turkey Programme at the Brookings Institution, Washington

Discussant

Alexander Vezenkov

Freelance scholar, Sofia

Questions and Answers Session and closing of the first conference day

Second day, April 20 (Sunday), 2008

“Sofia” hall, Grand Hotel Sofia

Third panel: the Bulgarian Debate on Turkey’s EU Membership and possible Dimensions of the Bulgarian Position

10:00 – 13:00

The goal of this panel discussion is to present the state of the Bulgarian debate on Turkey’s EU membership, as well as to articulate the diverging viewpoints in the process of shaping the Bulgarian position. The debate is in the context of the assessment of possible impacts of membership and non-membership scenarios on Bulgaria and its neighbourhood.

Introduction to the Bulgarian Debate

Elitsa Markova

Open Society Institute- Sofia

Chair of the panel

The State of the Bulgarian Debate on Turkey’s EU Membership – Presentation OSI- S Key Findings

Marin Lessenski

Open Society Institute- Sofia

Possible Dimensions of the Bulgarian Stand – Viewpoints

Prof. Bozhidar Dimitrov*

Director, National Museum of History, Sofia

Coffee break

10:45 – 11:00

Prof. Ognyan Minchev

European Council on Foreign Relations, Sofia

Ivan Krastev

Director, Center for Liberal Strategies, Sofia

Ivo Prokopiev

Chairman of the Confederation of Employers and Industrialists, Sofia

Sevda Shishmanova

Foreign Affairs Correspondent, Bulgarian National Television, Sofia

Questions and Answers Session and Closing Remarks

13:00 – 14:30

Lunch buffet

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