Removing Cross-Border Capacity Bottlenecks in the European Natural Gas Market

- A Proposed Merchant-Regulatory Mechanism

Anne Neumann[1], Juan Rosellón[2] and HannesWeigt[3]

1Base Case

1.1Comparative Results

Figure 1: Short Run Welfare Comparison

Figure 2: Congestion Rent

Figure 3: Price Development

1.2No Extension Case

Figure 4: Regional Price Development, Winter Season

Figure 5: Regional Price Development, Summer Season

1.3Profit Based Case

Figure 6: Regional Price Development, Winter Season

Figure 7: Regional Price Development, Summer Season

Figure 8: Total Capacity Extension

1.4Regulated Case

Figure 9: Regional Price Development, Winter Season

Figure 10: Regional Price Development, Summer Season

Figure 11: Total Capacity Extension

1.5Welfare Benchmark Case

Figure 12: Regional Price Development, Winter Season

Figure 13: Regional Price Development, Summer Season

Figure 14: Total Capacity Extension

2Regional Coverage Scenarios

2.1Comparative Results

Figure 15: Short Run Welfare Comparison

Figure 16: Congestion Rent

Figure 17: Price Development

2.2Full Coverage Case

Figure 18: Regional Price Development, Winter Season

Figure 19: Regional Price Development, Summer Season

Figure 20: Total Capacity Extension

2.3Central-West Coverage Case

Figure 21: Regional Price Development, Winter Season

Figure 22: Regional Price Development, Summer Season

Figure 23: Total Capacity Extension

2.4Central-East Coverage Case

Figure 24: Regional Price Development, Winter Season

Figure 25: Regional Price Development, Summer Season

Figure 26: Total Capacity Extension

3Caspian Scenarios

3.1Comparative Results

Figure 27: Short Run Welfare Comparison

Figure 28: Congestion Rent

Figure 29: Price Development

3.2Regulated Case

Figure 30: Regional Price Development

Figure 31: Total Capacity Extension

3.3Welfare Benchmark Case

Figure 32: Regional Price Development

Figure 33: Total Capacity Extension

4LNG Scenarios

4.1Comparative Results

Figure 34: Short Run Welfare Comparison

Figure 35: Congestion Rent

Figure 36: Price Development

4.2Regulated Case

Figure 37: Regional Price Development

Figure 38: Total Capacity Extension

4.3Welfare Benchmark Case

Figure 39: Regional Price Development

Figure 40: Total Capacity Extension

1

[1] Anne Neumann, Universität Potsdam and German Institute for Economic Research, (DIW Berlin), Universität Potsdam, Dept. of Economics and Business, Chair for Economic Policy, August-Bebel-Str. 89, D-14482 Potsdam, Germany, .

[2] Juan Rosellón, Centro de Investigación y Docencia Económicas (CIDE) and German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin). CIDE, Department of Economics, Carretera México-Toluca 3655 Col. Lomas de Santa Fe 01210 México, D.F. ; and DIW Berlin, Department of Energy, Transportation, Environment, Mohrenstraße58, 10117 Berlin. Phone +4930 897 89-497, Fax +49 30 897 89-113, .

[3] Corresponding author: Hannes Weigt, Forschungsstelle Nachhaltige Energie- und Wasserversorgung, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät der Universität Basel, Peter Merian-Weg 6, CH-4002 Basel, Switzerland, Tel: +41 (0)61 267 3259, Fax: +41 (0)61 267 0496, .